📅 Everyone can save this week's macro trading calendar:

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1 hour ago

📅 Everyone can bookmark this week's macro trading calendar:

This week is basically a "macro super week," and I feel the market is very likely to be turbulent; the market has already reacted to bitcoin:native today, with a selective exploratory decline starting yesterday.

I think there are four things that are most worth watching:

① Federal Reserve FOMC

The truly important aspects are not just whether interest rates are raised, but the dot plot, economic forecasts, and Warsh’s statements about the future path.

The market is not trading this time, but the next time.

② CLARITY Act key vote

This has not yet been finally approved, but if it successfully crosses the procedural threshold, it will continue to increase the certainty of the U.S. crypto regulation framework's implementation, which is an important variable for the entire Crypto space.

③ Bank of Japan + Japanese Yen

If the BOJ continues to tighten, yen carry trades may once again be impacted. This variable affects not only Japanese stocks but also transmits to U.S. stocks and global liquidity in Crypto.

④ Oil prices and re-inflation

The most easily underestimated risk right now is actually oil prices. If energy prices continue to stay high, the Federal Reserve may want to loosen, but inflation may not cooperate.

So this week, focus on observing three things: long-term U.S. Treasury yields, USD/JPY, and crude oil. They are likely to tell us where the money is really flowing better than any single economic data.

I have compiled the important events of this week into a chart, and I recommend bookmarking it.

Personally, I still maintain my consistent view on a turbulent market and my three strategies:

Continue to invest regularly + buy large on big declines and small on small declines + patiently wait!


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