The CPI data for August in the United States has just been released, and it is almost as expected, with the broad CPI expectation at 3.4%, and the actual figure also being 3.4%. Although it hasn't decreased, as long as it doesn't rise, it's a good thing, indicating that at least for now, the inflation situation in the United States is not too bad. Of course, everyone knows that as long as the issue in Hormuz is not resolved, inflation will inevitably bounce back.

In particular, inflation in September is highly likely to rise, and it will rise significantly. This means that if we do not want the expectation of the Federal Reserve's interest rate hike to increase, Trump should ideally resolve the Hormuz issue before the October monetary policy meeting, or plead with Iran to open the waterways to some countries. However, I think this possibility is too low before the mid-term elections.

After all, looking at the monthly inflation rate, we can see that it has already risen quite a bit. So even though the core inflation may seem lower than last month's previous value, the data for September may not look good.

Overall, today's data should have been good since inflation met expectations, but the monthly CPI rate is a bit high, which still worries investors that the Federal Reserve will be more aggressive.

PS: The upcoming inflation expectations from the University of Michigan may also be disappointing.

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