Good evening everyone, I am Xin Ya. The 76800 and 2405 given yesterday still became the controlling positions.

Market Simulation After 9.11

Reviewing briefly, the one-hour decline starting from 4 PM on the 9th refreshed the price to around 76400, which is already the third one-hour decline in the four-hour drop that started from 82300 on the 4th. The early session saw a fifteen-minute rebound testing 77500.

The four-hour structure has formed but can still evolve.
There are two possibilities for the future market. The first is a four-hour rebound, which, regardless of strength, will test the previous one-hour center.

The second is a one-hour rebound followed by a one-hour decline, continuing to expand the structure.
In this case, the initial segment of the fifteen-minute rebound in the early session is followed by a fifteen-minute decline, then a fifteen-minute rebound, completing one hour up, then shifting to one hour down.

The third possibility is a fifteen-minute fluctuation upgrading to a one-hour fluctuation, finding the center between the two channels, competing before consolidating and fluctuating in a larger range for a week.

The strength or weakness of these three possibilities will affect the differentiation of the subsequent moves. In the past, I would provide important divergences and markers and filter my choices. Having tread carefully for eight days, it is time to relax now; the market is in your hands, and I hope you can handle it well.

I have published a brief update during the day, and I won't make any changes now. The short positions have been entered, and the CPI data will be played before, during, and after the market—be aware of the risks yourself.
The large coin saw a dump around 80000 before and after 8:30; it pierced down to 76600 and rebounded to test 77500 before declining. The early 7 o'clock refreshed the low near 76400. It is important to note that the process of decline is on low volume, with acceleration occurring when breaking 76800.
Ethereum is relatively decentralized, with volume surging at 2466 before 8:30, piercing down to 2404, and the rebound was slightly strong, testing 2472 again. It has five consecutive red candles in one hour, and after dropping to 2436, buying interest has come in. Looking at the 9.11 evening market at 11 o'clock, there was divergence when Ethereum was operating around 2435, and the second test at early 7 o'clock indicates that the bulls are interested here.

The rebound of the large coin is suppressed, while the rebound process of Ethereum aids in testing; both run separately, leaving retail investors confused.
Given this, the conservative approach is to intervene at the suppression point backed by the large coin and wait for the later sequence of Ethereum to enter.

For the large coin, focus on 77500, 78200, 78800
Below them are 76200, 75400, 73700
For Ethereum, the upper targets are 2480, 2520
And below are 2435, 2405, 2380
Daytime is biased towards fluctuation, actively look to enter short at 77500 and 2480, and then adjust as needed
The conservative entry for short is at 78200 and 2500

From August to September 11, only on 9.2 and 9.3 did I misjudge and was suppressed by the controlling party.

Stay synchronized with colleagues and pay attention to the public account: Xin Ya talks about Chan

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