On Tuesday, Bitcoin briefly hit around $77,600 during intraday trading, then receded to $78,900–$79,100 in the Asian morning session, remaining close to flat for the day, with a slight increase for the week. Ethereum fluctuated between $2,490 and $2,510. The real repricing is still Zcash: Grayscale ZEC Spot ETF (ZCSH) has listed for two weeks with assets surpassing $500 million and holding over 550,000 coins, accounting for about 3% of the circulating supply; ZEC rebounded from an intraday low of around $1,120 to $1,230–$1,240, with a 24-hour trading volume of about $1 billion, returning its market cap to the top ten.
The macro environment remains soft. August non-farm payrolls at 162,000 continue to pressure interest rate expectations, with a 60% chance of a 25bp rate hike in September. In the latter half of this week, there will be PPI and CPI data, which will determine whether the $78,000 range opens upward or downward.
BTC Key Levels
Resistance: $79,500–$80,000; only an effective breakout would see the previous higher range of $81,000–$82,300.
Support: $78,000 is the short-term pivot; if lost, watch for $77,600 (today's low) and $77,000; further down to $75,500.
Judgment: After two weeks of failing to break above $80,000, but with buyers coming in at $77,600, the structure still presents a high-range box, not a unilateral shift to bearish.
ETH Key Levels
Resistance: $2,510–$2,550.
Support: $2,460–$2,480, further down to $2,430.
Judgment: Lacking an independent narrative, follows BTC's direction. Holding above $2,480 continues grinding; breaking $2,430 means following a decline.
ZEC Key Levels
Resistance: $1,248–$1,265 (recent high range), needing to stabilize before discussing an extension above $1,300.
Support: $1,180–$1,200 as the first defense for a pullback, $1,100–$1,120 is the boundary for whether the trend remains intact, and $1,000 is the emotional bottom line.
Judgment: The ETF has withdrawn from circulation; supply and demand have been rewritten in the short term, but RSI is still high, suitable for a pullback, not suitable to chase up to $1,240.
Strategy
The market first looks at this week’s inflation: moderate data gives BTC a chance to change $80,000 from resistance to support; hotter data may turn $77,600 into a relay rather than a bottom. Position-wise, do not short BTC unless it breaks $78,000, with ETH following; for ZEC, only do pullback structures below $1,180. Reduce leverage before the FOMC.
The above is a summary of public information and does not constitute investment advice; levels are based on real-time market conditions.
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