Brothers, the latest Bitcoin market insights are here! Today, combining the CPI data, FOMC meeting, and the macro environment from the Bank of Japan, I will clarify the market trends for the next two to three days, including the entire two weeks, three precise paths, and the high and low risks. Pay close attention, and you absolutely won’t miss out or get trapped in this wave of market movement.

First, let's talk about the core logic of the market. All the data in this round will only determine the depth of Bitcoin's pullback, it will not change the overall direction of the pullback, and everyone can rest assured that the current bottom support is very solid, so there is no need to panic buy blindly or cut losses blindly.

First, let me tell you about the strongest probability and the easiest path to take, which is the blue stable path, and it will be the core mainstream trend for the next two weeks.

If the core CPI increases by 0.2% month-on-month, fully in line with market expectations, then the market's interest rate hike probability will stabilize around 60%. After this data is released, Bitcoin will experience a healthy pullback, stabilizing in the range of $77,000 to $78,000.

This position is absolutely not a random guess; it is a strong support from dual resonance. On one hand, it is the Fibonacci 0.786 core retracement level of $77,600, and on the other hand, it is the neck line support of the previous triple bottom in the range of $77,000 to $78,000. The double support combined makes the bottom extremely solid.

After stabilization, the market will not immediately surge; it will first move sideways and oscillate, slowly building bullish momentum. After accumulating strength, it will break upward again and test the high range of $82,000 to $83,000. This is the highest probability mainline market.

Next is the yellow neutral path, which belongs to a minor deep pullback trend, and the risks are manageable.

If the core CPI month-on-month data rises, falling between 0.2% and 0.3%, the market's interest rate hike probability will directly surpass 70%. Under the influence of this bad news, Bitcoin will face a deeper pullback, with prices dropping to the range of $75,000 to $76,000, and in extreme cases, touching around $73,000.

There’s no need to panic at this position; $75,000 to $76,000 is the core buy wall of the market's big whales, with very strong chip support, and $73,000 is even the key Fib 0.618 retracement level. Even if the price drops to this level, it is just a structural deep pullback; the overall bullish trend structure is completely intact, belonging to a benign deep adjustment, with the future still looking bullish.

Finally, there is the probability lowest red risk path, which you can just understand briefly, no need to overly worry.

Only when the core CPI month-on-month increase exceeds 0.3%, and the market's interest rate hike probability skyrockets to over 80%, with extreme bearish effects concentrating and fermenting, could Bitcoin potentially delve deeply, testing the Fibonacci 0.5 retracement support near $71,000. Theoretically, there is a possibility for lower prices, but the overall probability is extremely low, making it hard to materialize.

In summary, we focus closely on transaction volume and the overall flow of funds to accurately judge the direction. Currently, market whales have been accumulating during dips and continuously positioning themselves, while Bitcoin ETF funds are also steadily entering the market. The buying structure below is very solid, and the bears have no room to crash the market.

Once again, I emphasize that the CPI data only affects the depth of the pullback, it does not change the overall bullish structure. As long as the key level of $77,000 is held, the mid-term bullish trend for Bitcoin will not be broken.

I sincerely remind all brothers, as the upcoming market adjusts, as long as it touches the three corresponding price levels I mentioned above, they will all be sure low buying opportunities. Don't wait foolishly for Bitcoin to drop below $70,000; during this wave of market movement, it is very likely you won't see prices below $70,000!

Insights are hard to come by, please like, share, and follow for synchronized operations. (Public account: Big Bull Market Insights)

The market review does not constitute investment advice. Cryptocurrency is highly volatile, and contract trading carries extreme risk, please control your positions wisely.

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