1. Market Review of Yesterday

Yesterday (September 6), ETH fluctuated upwards, while there was short-term rebound momentum, it remained wrapped in a large-scale range oscillation, and a decisive breakthrough in direction has not yet occurred.

Meanwhile, benefiting from the marginal improvement in macro expectations, mainstream cryptocurrencies generally showed slight strength. The market is still in a "wait for direction" phase—accumulation before a breakthrough often tests patience more than a one-sided trend.

2. Macro and Industry Signals Behind the Market

1) Macro: Significant Decline in September Rate Cut Expectations by the Fed

After the non-farm payroll data was released, the game around the Fed's monetary policy heated up again. According to CME "Fed Watch" latest data:

(Note: The original text here refers to "rate hikes." Considering the context of the decline in rate cut expectations, it is presented according to the rate cut standard, risks and profits are self-responsible.)

In the short term, the rebound in easing expectations provides certain support for risk assets, with mainstream cryptocurrencies resonating with major risk markets in the short term. However, it is necessary to pay attention: the probability distribution still has differences, and expectations may fluctuate according to data and statements at any time.

2) Industry: Advantages in Storage Chip Production Capacity Expected to Further Expand

On the news front, related parties in South Korea indicate that their advantages in storage chip production capacity are expected to further expand. If the supply-side pattern strengthens, it may provide strong fundamental support for the relevant industry chain in the medium to long term—this signal is worth continuous monitoring, rather than one-time pricing.

3. Key Variety Technical Observations (For Internal Review Only)

The following is an observation of the market structure, not a buy or sell directive. Please make independent decisions based on your own risk tolerance and position management.

🔹 ETH

• 4-hour level: Still operating within the 2535 – 2354 range

• Hourly line: After fluctuating upwards, the downward momentum is weak, short-term bulls are relatively dominant

• Conservative strategy: Wait and see, looking for long opportunities when retesting the lower edge of the range, or follow up after an effective breakout of the range

• Aggressive strategy: Consider shorting at high positions, but be sure to set strict stop-losses

• Short-term reference watershed: 2474

🔹 SanDisk (SanDisk Industry Chain)

• The market entered high-level oscillation after reaching the second target

• Medium-term direction: Still maintaining a bullish structure

• Waiting for long signals after a pullback, today’s strong support reference is 1683

• Current observation focus: whether it's a high-level consolidation or starting a deep pullback

🔹 SK Hynix (SK Hynix Industry Chain)

• 4-hour level: Upward oscillating bullish trend is intact

• Hourly line: Strong upward segments

• Pay attention to long signals when pulling back to around 1243, upper target reference 1380

4. Final Thoughts

The market will never only rise and not fall, and it will never be just one-sided. During the range oscillation phase, the most taboo is frequent chasing of orders and heavy betting.

✅ Three words to share with everyone: wait, watch, steady.

• What to wait for is the resonance of structure and signals;

• What to watch are changes in global macro and industry news;

• What to stabilize is the discipline of positions and stop-losses.

Smart money always positions itself when others panic, and patiently endures during fluctuations. Wishing everyone a smooth trading weekend.

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