1. Review of Yesterday: Underneath the Calm, Turbulence Brews
The market overall maintained a fluctuating pattern on Tuesday:
ETH fluctuated slightly at a low level without a clear breakthrough;
SanDisk and SK Hynix both pulled back after a surge, with limited rebound strength.
It appears calm, but in fact, the market is building momentum for the next directional move.
2. Fundamentals: Geopolitical Disturbances + Super Data Week Approaches
The current market is driven by two forces, as risk appetite continues to be suppressed:
[Geopolitical Risk Rising]
The US military launched another military strike against Iran on Tuesday, targeting nearly 60 Iranian military objectives around the Strait, including:
Air defense positions
Radar systems
Maritime assets
Mine-laying capabilities
Communication stations
As geopolitical tensions rise sharply, risk aversion is increasing, and funds are becoming cautious.
[Countdown to Significant Data]
The September 16 Federal Reserve meeting is approaching, with the market estimating a probability of 25 basis points rate hike at 62.3%;
More critically - non-farm data will be released tomorrow night, making it difficult for bulls to gain confidence before the data is out.
🔎 Summary in One Sentence: Geopolitical risk + Policy uncertainty + Significant data approaching, the market will primarily wait and see in the short term.
3. Technical Analysis: Three Major Varieties' Operational Thoughts
ETH: Low Momentum Weakening, Waiting for Signal to Go Long
4-Hour Level: The lowest point yesterday touched the previous platform's lower wick support level at 2355, which was not effectively breached, the range oscillation continues.
Hourly Level: Key observation - the downward momentum at a low level has significantly weakened, as bearish momentum gradually bottoms out.
📌 Operational Thoughts (Long Signal):
Entry Signal: Hourly close above 2423
Stop Loss: 2385
Target: 2472 → 2534
⏳ Currently only doing "waiting for signals", not jumping the gun. Once the hourly line stabilizes above 2423, the chances of going long are higher.
💾 SanDisk: Rebound Under Pressure, Maintaining a Bearish Oscillation
Large Range: 1618 — 1468
Review of Key Nodes:
Failed to stabilize above 1580 the day before yesterday, marking an end for bulls;
The rebound yesterday tested the previous high of 1580 and then quickly fell back, with prices weakening again.
📉 Overall Judgment: Today will still be primarily oscillating and adjusting, with a trend oscillating downwards.
📌 Operational Thoughts (Short on Rallies):
Entry Range: Short between 1560 — 1580
Stop Loss: 1590
Target: 1514 → 1468
💡 A rebound is an opportunity to short, as the line at 1580 has been persistently attacked with no breakthrough, with bears holding the upper hand.
SK Hynix: Within a Contracting Triangle, No Clear Direction
The current price is within a 4-hour contracting triangle, and the tug-of-war between bulls and bears is entering its final stage, with no clear direction.
📌 Operational Thoughts: Observe for now, waiting for a breakout from the triangle before following the trend, and there’s no need to force participation.
If you want to know more details and specific operations, see you in the live broadcast tonight, where we will analyze the market and view the K-line logic in real time.
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TS: Three apps are available for download in the app store, scan to add）
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