The weekend was quite stable, and the judgment on Bitcoin seems fine for now. The market has calmed down regarding Walsh's "there's still work to be done." From my personal judgment, the Federal Reserve will not raise interest rates in September, because the inflation in August is unlikely to be outrageously high. The September interest rate meeting will be held after the updates of the August CPI, PPI, and non-farm payroll data, and current data shows not much difference from July.

More importantly, although the United States and Iran have not reached a reconciliation yet, the opening of Hormuz is already irreversible. At most, Iran will charge fees and open to non-American and allied parties. Although it cannot reach pre-war levels, recovering around 60% is still feasible. This means that even if oil prices do not fall below 60 dollars, staying around 70 dollars should not be a big problem.

This at least alleviates the global inflation problem. Moreover, if Venezuela continues to develop and increase oil production, it will also help with the downward trend of global oil prices. Without the impact of oil prices, inflation in the United States and globally will start to decrease. Of course, it also depends on whether Trump will recklessly continue to impose tariffs, but at least one important issue has been resolved.

As for bitcoin:native, both channels are expiring on Monday, and a low buy of 75,000 dollars should not be executed. I will first continue to hang around for about 5% space and see. This round of increase has been a bit troubling without knowing the reason, and I dare not act aggressively. I will wait and see for now.

@Gate Crypto, U.S. stocks, Hong Kong stocks, Korean stocks, gold, CFD, prediction market one-stop trading

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