Some discussions/opinions from the roundtables I attended (under Chatham House Rule and NFA):
1) Agent:
- Giants already own data and distribution, so startups can’t win head-on. They need a different wedge.
- The frontier version of that data advantage is a Financial World Model. Whoever builds it inherits the edge.
- Asset creation is increasingly driven by users themselves and by social impact, not top-down issuance.
- On liquidity, the answer isn’t one deep pool but diversified strategies.
- No single universal model wins this category.
- Win rate in trading is low, and even with agents, which means many trading is entertainment, not profit. People are paying for the experience.
- If agents actually trade cautiously, that could mean lower volume on venues, not higher.
- Top traders already figured this out: they monetize reputation rather than alpha. Reputation is the distribution channel.
- A customized trading terminal may help users find tickers and strategies.
2) Privacy:
- Confidential DeFi is getting adopted
- Physical cash would be banned before ZCash (if it is technically possible) lol
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