August 26 Market Analysis: Geopolitical Cooling, Comprehensive Analysis of Operating Strategies for Three Major Commodities

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1. Fundamentals: Geopolitical Risks Cool Down, Market Sentiment Shifts

The biggest variable in the market yesterday came from the marginal easing of the Middle East situation:

  • ◎ Iran and Oman are advancing towards a joint temporary navigation corridor and discussing the removal of mines and permanent navigation arrangements;

  • ◎ Reports indicate that the US and Iran have reached a consensus on ceasefire agreement terms, with freedom of navigation in the strait included in the relevant terms.

The market quickly interpreted the above developments as a decrease in military risk, with a clear transmission chain:

Energy commodities declined significantly → Inflation concerns eased → Long-term government bond yields fell → Risk assets gained respite

However, it is important to note that in this round of risk appetite recovery, digital currencies are under some pressure. The retreat of risk-averse sentiment and the diversion of funds have pressured crypto assets—this is also an important reason why ETH has maintained volatility today.


2. Technical Analysis: Operation Strategies for Three Major Varieties

ETH: Range-bound Fluctuation Remains, Focus on Buy Low Sell High

Today's Core Range: 2534 — 2354

  • Short-term Traders: Buy low and sell high within the range, with a clear strategy; upper resistance is at 2534, lower support is at 2354;

  • Trend Traders: Continue to be patient, waiting for long position signals after price corrections, mainly observing in the current phase.

Summary in One Sentence: Don't chase for orders in a volatile market, wait for corrections, wait for direction.


💾 SanDisk: Rebound Resistance Level Stagnant, Waiting for Short Position Signals

Yesterday's Price Review:
The hourly chart showed three waves of rebounds, testing the 1564 resistance level before retreating from the highs; however, the 1448 resonance support level remains strong, temporarily limiting the downward space.

Today's Trading Strategy:

  • Patiently wait for price to rebound near 1550 for short position signals;

  • Stop Loss: 1590;

  • Target: Aim for around 1460.

Logic: Stagnation near resistance levels + the momentum of high price retreats is not finished, a rebound provides an opportunity for phased shorting.


🧠 SK Hynix: Testing Key Resistance, Beware of False Breakouts

Current Market:
After slight oscillation at high levels last night, the price tested the 1240 resistance level again. However, it is worth noting that the current upward K-line trading volume is weak, the volume-price combination is average, thus caution against false breakouts is necessary.

Today's Trading Strategy:

  • Don't rush to chase for long positions, first observe whether the price can firmly stand at 1240 (confirmation on an hourly or four-hour basis);

  • After confirming an effective breakout, wait for pullback long position signals to enter.

Summary in One Sentence: Insufficient volume raises doubts about the breakout—only enter after a firm standing, pullback is the opportunity.

  • If you want to know more details and specific operations, see you in the live room tonight, we will analyze the market live and discuss logic in real-time based on candlestick charts.

    TS: Three APPs can be downloaded from the app store, scan the code to add)

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