1. Fundamentals: Geopolitical Risks Cool Down, Market Sentiment Shifts
The biggest variable in the market yesterday came from the marginal easing of the Middle East situation:
◎ Iran and Oman are advancing towards a joint temporary navigation corridor and discussing the removal of mines and permanent navigation arrangements;
◎ Reports indicate that the US and Iran have reached a consensus on ceasefire agreement terms, with freedom of navigation in the strait included in the relevant terms.
The market quickly interpreted the above developments as a decrease in military risk, with a clear transmission chain:
Energy commodities declined significantly → Inflation concerns eased → Long-term government bond yields fell → Risk assets gained respite
However, it is important to note that in this round of risk appetite recovery, digital currencies are under some pressure. The retreat of risk-averse sentiment and the diversion of funds have pressured crypto assets—this is also an important reason why ETH has maintained volatility today.
2. Technical Analysis: Operation Strategies for Three Major Varieties
ETH: Range-bound Fluctuation Remains, Focus on Buy Low Sell High
Today's Core Range: 2534 — 2354
Short-term Traders: Buy low and sell high within the range, with a clear strategy; upper resistance is at 2534, lower support is at 2354;
Trend Traders: Continue to be patient, waiting for long position signals after price corrections, mainly observing in the current phase.
Summary in One Sentence: Don't chase for orders in a volatile market, wait for corrections, wait for direction.
💾 SanDisk: Rebound Resistance Level Stagnant, Waiting for Short Position Signals
Yesterday's Price Review:
The hourly chart showed three waves of rebounds, testing the 1564 resistance level before retreating from the highs; however, the 1448 resonance support level remains strong, temporarily limiting the downward space.
Today's Trading Strategy:
Patiently wait for price to rebound near 1550 for short position signals;
Stop Loss: 1590;
Target: Aim for around 1460.
Logic: Stagnation near resistance levels + the momentum of high price retreats is not finished, a rebound provides an opportunity for phased shorting.
🧠 SK Hynix: Testing Key Resistance, Beware of False Breakouts
Current Market:
After slight oscillation at high levels last night, the price tested the 1240 resistance level again. However, it is worth noting that the current upward K-line trading volume is weak, the volume-price combination is average, thus caution against false breakouts is necessary.
Today's Trading Strategy:
Don't rush to chase for long positions, first observe whether the price can firmly stand at 1240 (confirmation on an hourly or four-hour basis);
After confirming an effective breakout, wait for pullback long position signals to enter.
Summary in One Sentence: Insufficient volume raises doubts about the breakout—only enter after a firm standing, pullback is the opportunity.
If you want to know more details and specific operations, see you in the live room tonight, we will analyze the market live and discuss logic in real-time based on candlestick charts.
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