1. Today's Core News Summary (August 11, 2026)
1. Macro: Oil prices surged 5% in one day, reigniting inflation concerns; evening CPI is a pivotal factor
The talks in the Strait of Hormuz have hit a deadlock, increasing geopolitical risks. International oil prices have risen over 5% in a day, with Brent crude now above $86 per barrel, quickly rebounding market worries about secondary inflation. The US will release the July CPI data this evening, with market expectations for a year-on-year increase of 3.3%. If the data exceeds expectations, it will strengthen the expectations for a rate hike in September, putting downward pressure on the crypto market; if it falls below expectations, it may open up a recovery trend. Currently, the market generally holds a wait-and-see attitude, awaiting clear guidance from the data.
2. Selling Pressure: Strategy sells 1,690 BTC for $108 million; large holders reduce positions, suppressing the market
Strategy (formerly MicroStrategy) sold 1,690 Bitcoin at an average price of $64,262 between August 3 and 9, cashing out about $108.6 million, with all funds used to repurchase the company's preferred stock. As the largest publicly traded company holding Bitcoin, its continuous selling actions have led to a temporary blow to bullish confidence, becoming one of the significant drivers of this round of declines.
3. Funding: Weekly ETF inflows hit a new high since April, but single-day inflow momentum slows
Last week, the US Bitcoin spot ETF saw a net inflow for five consecutive trading days, totaling $853.5 million, marking the largest weekly inflow since mid-April, with BlackRock’s IBIT contributing over 80% of the increase. However, this week's single-day inflow has noticeably narrowed, with BTC ETF net inflow of about $112 million and ETH ETF net inflow of about $56.78 million, while Solana ETF recorded a slight net outflow. Institutional funds continue to provide support, but marginal momentum is weakening.
4. Industry Catalyst: ETH staking volume hits a historical high; SOL burn proposal ignites supply expectations
The total amount of Ethereum staked has risen to a historical high of 41.7 million, accounting for about one-third of total supply, indicating that long-term holders continue to strengthen their confidence in the network, although this has somewhat reduced market liquidity. The Solana community proposed a significant plan to increase the daily burn amount from about 650 SOL to 7,500-9,000 SOL, while accelerating the deflationary process; the expectation of supply contraction supports SOL against declines, performing better than other mainstream coins.
5. Sentiment and Liquidation: Bulls concentrated stop loss, panic sentiment persists
In the past 24 hours, the total liquidation amount in the market reached approximately $92 million to $100 million, primarily from long liquidations, triggered when Bitcoin fell below $64,000. The crypto fear and greed index reported 30-37, remaining in the "fear" zone, with market risk appetite weak, and funds inclined to reduce positions and avoid uncertainty ahead of CPI data.
Mainstream Coin Strategies and Entry Points Reference
Below is a summary of technical analysis for reference only, not constituting any trading advice.
1. Bitcoin (BTC)
Market Qualitative Analysis: The price has broken below the $64,000 level on a 4-hour basis, disrupting the short-term rebound structure, with MACD bearish histogram enlarging, and KDJ entering the oversold zone; $63,500 serves as a short-term support level, while $62,800 is the mid-term bulls-bears dividing line, with evening CPI data set to determine the direction.
• Key Support:
◦ First Support: $63,400 – $63,500 (short-term support level, previous consolidation platform)
◦ Strong Support: $62,700 – $62,800 (bears-bulls dividing line; falling below it returns to the downtrend channel)
• Key Resistance:
◦ First Resistance: $64,200 – $64,300 (near integer level, previous support turned pressure)
◦ Strong Resistance: $64,800 – $65,000 (7-day moving average resistance + previous heavy trading zone)
• Reference Ideas:
◦ Stabilizing after a pullback to the $63,300–$63,500 range can allow for a light long bet, with a stop loss set below $62,900.
◦ If a rebound faces pressure in the $64,200–$64,400 range, a short position can be taken with a stop loss above $64,800.
◦ Prior to the CPI data, focusing on light position trading to avoid heavy bets on a single outcome; follow up on the trend after the data is released.
2. Ethereum (ETH)
Market Qualitative Analysis: The price has broken below the $1,900 level, disrupting the short-term rebound structure, with weaker performance than Bitcoin; despite the staking volume hitting a new high providing long-term fundamental support, near-term selling pressure dominates the market. The support near $1,860 is based on prior consolidation, with an eye on stabilization signals.
• Key Support:
◦ First Support: $1,855 – $1,865 (short-term support level, prior consolidation platform)
◦ Strong Support: $1,830 – $1,840 (bears-bulls dividing line; falling below increases risk of new lows)
• Key Resistance:
◦ First Resistance: $1,895 – $1,905 (integer level + previous support turned pressure)
◦ Strong Resistance: $1,925 – $1,935 (100-day moving average resistance)
• Reference Ideas:
◦ Stabilizing after a pullback to the $1,850–$1,860 range can allow for a light long bet, with a stop loss below $1,835.
◦ If a rebound faces pressure in the $1,895–$1,905 range, a short position can be taken with a stop loss above $1,920.
◦ Falling below $1,830 is not recommended for bottom fishing, with a target of $1,800; stabilizing above $1,905 confirms a recovery signal.
3. Solana (SOL)
Market Qualitative Analysis: Relative resilience due to the burn proposal catalyst, with price declines smaller than BTC and ETH, and support around $75 proving effective; however, it still depends on the overall market trend, and the sustainability of independent movements is in doubt. If evening CPI data proves unfavorable, there is still a risk of further declines, so caution is needed in operations.
• Key Support:
◦ First Support: $74.8 – $75.2 (short-term support level)
◦ Strong Support: $73.5 – $73.8 (bears-bulls dividing line; falling below returns to weakness)
• Key Resistance:
◦ First Resistance: $76.5 – $77.0 (intraday high + previous consolidation platform)
◦ Strong Resistance: $78.0 – $78.5 (mid-term heavy trading area)
• Reference Ideas:
◦ Stabilizing after a pullback to the $74.5–$75.0 range allows for a light long trial, with a stop loss below $73.8.
◦ If a rebound faces pressure in the $76.5–$77.0 range, a short position can be taken with a stop loss above $77.8.
◦ If the broader market supports and breaks through $77 with volume, it can be seen reaching the $78–$78.5 range; falling below $73.5 should be avoided.
Operation Supplement Reminders
1. The US CPI data this evening is a major macro catalyst, with extremely high market uncertainty, and volatility can easily amplify; it is advised to significantly reduce positions and strictly implement stop losses before the data release, avoiding heavy bets on a single outcome.
2. Core observation variables for the day: performance of CPI data, trends of the US dollar index and US Treasury yields, and real-time funding flow of Bitcoin spot ETF.

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