First, let's talk about Bitcoin, and later we will discuss the US stock market and altcoins.

Now we officially start this Aster BTC market analysis!

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The long-term holder LTH-SOPR ratio has climbed to around 0.9355, indicating that the market is gradually facing profit-taking pressure, but it has not yet evolved into large-scale concentrated selling pressure.
The order book on both sides does not have a large volume, only slightly better buying power, causing the price to slowly inch upwards.
If the 12-hour closing price can stabilize at 64000, then we can look at the 65000-65300 range; if it breaks through 65300 with volume, the upward space will further open up. However, objectively speaking, the ceiling of this rebound has become relatively limited.
The market is quite interesting right now, as retail investors are panic-selling while whales are continuously accumulating quietly, and ETF trading has both buying and selling switching back and forth. This is definitely a situation of new and old tokens handing over the baton.

However, one thing that must not be overlooked is the need to watch the stock market.
If the US stock market cannot continue to break upwards, Bitcoin and Ethereum could easily follow down and go through a correction; if a drop occurs, there may be a deeper correction in the US stock market.

At this stage, it is not very suitable to rush into the market; it is better to wait for a wave of deep correction before considering going long.

This approach actually saves worry, as you don't have to watch the market all the time. Short-term trading back and forth is really exhausting.
Currently, there are two conflicting voices in the market; one part is anxious, worrying about whether it will drop back to the fifty-thousand range; the other group believes that the bull market has already started, and every correction is a good opportunity to enter.
Overall, Bitcoin is still under pressure, but there are signs that the market structure is slowly improving. Recently, there have been more bullish voices from KOLs; I mentioned two weeks ago, the price has been oscillating around 64000, and while the levels haven't changed much, many people's accounts have already seen a real loss.

If you are making a long-term layout, you can pay attention to several price levels to gradually increase your position: 58K → 55K → 52K → 50K; be sure to reserve some position to cope with the possibility of extreme market conditions around 45-47K.
The overall strategy for Ethereum is similar to Bitcoin; patience is also required. For those not using leverage, they can slowly start accumulating spot positions.
Turning back to the US stock market, SpaceX has recently plummeted significantly.
I personally feel that if it falls to the 85-90 range, it can be looked at for participation opportunities.
Those who usually trade US and Hong Kong stocks can pay more attention to Unitree Technology and remember to compare with the chart just viewed.

Yesterday I played with Unitree Technology a bit; its trend was very similar to that of meme coins, with a sharp increase followed by a strong decline.

Unitree Technology (Unitree Robotics) focuses on the R&D, production, and sales of high-performance general-purpose robots, covering humanoid robots, quadruped robotic dogs, robotic components, and embodied intelligent large models.

This asset has already been listed on Bybit; if you're interested, feel free to learn more.

Official website: https://jump.do/zh‑Hans/xlink‑proxy?id=15

Subscription begins on the 10th, and there is still a week left.
You can check out the new shares; if you plan to buy in, the long-term logic makes sense, but short-term trading can be very disruptive.
Many have stumbled on SpaceX; when it rebounded slightly last week, a large number rushed in to chase the highs, and now many are trapped in losses.
By the way, here's some news related to gold that everyone can consider.

In the second quarter of 2026, global central banks' net gold purchases increased by 62 tons year-on-year, reaching 289 tons, marking the highest quarterly buying scale since the fourth quarter of 2024.
Compared to the previous quarter, the amount of gold purchased surged by 231 tons, a growth of 407%. So far this year, global central banks have cumulatively purchased over 345 tons of gold.
Upon closer inspection, gold has actually been quietly rising.
Poland ranks first in gold purchases, having bought 82 tons, bringing its total gold reserves to a record 632 tons.
This year, Uzbekistan has increased its holdings by 41 tons, while China has added 40 tons.
Global central banks continue to accumulate gold in significant amounts.
In Q2, various central banks clearly accelerated their gold accumulation pace, and allocating part of their positions to gold is a very pragmatic choice.
Gold can be included in your observation trading list.
Currently, very few people are actively promoting gold, and this is likely to hide opportunities.

XAU surged last month to surpass 4000.
I wonder if anyone has noticed that almost no bloggers are discussing gold.
Quietly rising, and when a bunch of KOLs come out to hype it, the retail phase is likely to begin.
For those who don't have suitable opportunities in Bitcoin or the US stock market for now, focusing on gold could be worthwhile.
When trading altcoins, you must understand the importance of locking in profits; cash out when you earn, and don’t be greedy thinking you can capture the entire market move.
Old and new users can now receive a 10% cash rebate benefit!

The previous referral rebate was only 5%; now by binding through the link below, it automatically upgrades to a 10% rebate:

https://www.asterdex.com/zh‑CN/referral/9C50e2

Back to the Aster platform, a new round of airdrop activities is about to begin.
Based on the trading volume in June and July, if you want to catch the last train, now is the time to act.
I have also been comparing data from several competing products recently, and Aster's overall data performance is in the leading tier.

New tokens trading on the platform also enjoy a 1.2x points bonus; if you want to capture airdrop rewards, seize the opportunity.
Next, let’s talk about the way to brush points on the Aster platform.
This is equivalent to turning $ASTER from a simple token into a tool that can continuously generate income.
Season points = trading volume × 1.2x bonus (exclusive to new tokens)
Recently listed tokens:
$BICO, $1000RATS, AGPU, GRVT
Trading any of these tokens automatically grants you a 1.2x points weight. Stacking on the platform’s low fee policy, you can effectively gain 20% more new season points almost with zero cost.

Open the official website: https://www.asterdex.com/zh‑CN/referral/9C50e2

On the right side of the page, connect your wallet and switch to the Chinese interface.

After completing the setup, click on the token section on the left and select the newly listed tokens.
These newly listed tokens also relate to US stock market investment products. Let me guide newcomers through a complete operation tutorial.

Aster DEX is a multi-chain decentralized perpetual contract exchange, supporting high-leverage trading and cross-chain interaction, with low fees.
Step one: New user introduction (connect wallet)
Aster DEX does not require traditional account registration; you just need to connect a wallet to use it, and you can get it done in just a few minutes.

Preparing the wallet:

Prepare a multi-chain compatible wallet such as MetaMask or WalletConnect.

Visit the Aster platform:

Open the official website in your browser: https://www.asterdex.com/zh‑CN/referral/9C50e2

Click "Connect Wallet," select your wallet, and complete the authorization connection.

Basic settings:
After successfully connecting for the first time, transfer assets such as USDT, which can be transferred from centralized exchanges.
Go to the dashboard to check your account balance and choose between spot or perpetual contract trading modes.
A small suggestion for newcomers: You can make a small transfer to test the interaction first.
Make sure to start with low leverage and gradually familiarize yourself with the platform's features.
The platform has very low perpetual contract fees, and combined with the funding fee mechanism, actual trading costs can be driven down very low.
Participating in platform activities:
1. Once your wallet is connected, find the "Promotions" activity tab.
2. Complete tasks, such as making your first trade.
3. Wait for the system to automatically issue fee refunds or rewards.
This is the complete onboarding process for newcomers on Aster. Most issues generally arise during the wallet transfer phase, so pay attention.
Also, be aware to differentiate between Bundlers, KOL outputs, and the real market timeline.
Many bullish comments online may not come from genuine long-term market optimism.
It's possible that bloggers already have positions built and need the market to take over for them to exit smoothly.
Just because someone else shows a profit does not mean you can replicate the same returns after entering.
Never exhaust all your tokens in one go.
New opportunities tend to arise in the market almost every week.
What we need to do is not trade frequently dozens of times in a day.
Instead, when a high-confidence opportunity arrives, we must still have ample resources to act.
Many people do not miss the market; rather, they lose their capital before the opportunity even arrives.
Whether you are optimistic about Bitcoin or the US stock market, a little more patience could go a long way. Gold is also worth waiting for the right price before entering.
In the trading market, the most expensive resource is your attention.
There are new Alpha opportunities everywhere and discussions about hundredfold coins.
But the real opportunities worth your substantial investment are indeed quite rare.
Learning to filter complex information is far more important than merely collecting messages everywhere.
Meme coins and altcoins can be played with small positions, but don’t base your decisions on fantasies. It is recommended to let go of the obsession with quick riches; your primary goal should be to stay in the game.
Playing with meme coins, perhaps catching one big opportunity in your lifetime is enough, but the prerequisite is that you need to survive until that moment arrives.
The money earned through inside information will eventually be lost due to news as well.
Even more terrifying is the psychological dependency that forms.
Gradually, you will feel that making money relies on others feeding news, rather than your own judgment.
Over time, you will no longer be willing to research independently or think critically, nor will you build your own trading system.
When the sources of information disappear, you will discover that your ability to earn money has also been lost.
Traders who consistently make stable profits rely on the analytical frameworks they have honed themselves, not the second-hand information they acquire by inquiring around.

These are some thoughts I have summarized from my recent observations of the market, combined with various user positions.

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