Jiangfeng Capital: "Jiangfeng Trading Strategy Journal" Total Review of Issues 1-20: Not for flaunting, only for authentic recording of one's trading logic, and finally to tally the win rate!

CN
2 hours ago

Since July 13, the "Jiang Feng Trading Strategy Diary" has been updated continuously, from Issue 1 to Issue 20, which has perfectly experienced the entire phase of the market from rebound and consolidation to high-level repeated speculation.

In these 20 issues, I recorded not only profitable trades but also a large number of strategies that did not trigger, as well as the one erroneous judgment that appeared. Many people see trade reviews and their first reaction is often to check "how much was made."

But for a trader, what is really important is not how much a particular trade made, but whether their judgment logic has consistency under different market environments, and whether risk control has been executed.

So this review is not meant to prove how great I am, but to completely and openly record all strategies from these 20 issues, allowing everyone to see a real trading strategy thought process and logic.

1. Core Idea of 20 Issue Strategies: Waiting, rather than chasing prices, which is why many strategies were not triggered. The biggest feature of these 20 issues is not the win rate, but the execution method.

Throughout this phase, I have consistently adhered to a core logic: a market rise does not necessarily mean chasing long positions; a market decline does not mean blindly chasing short positions. More often, I choose to wait for prices to rebound to key resistance areas before seeking short opportunities.

The reason is simple: K lines and indicators are essentially results after price changes. What truly drives prices are the funds, emotions, macro environment, and changes in long and short forces behind the market.

Therefore, for each strategy, I always provide an expected entry area, target area, and possible market changes in advance. If the price does not reach the planned position, I will not force trades. Because the greatest enemy of trading is not missing an opportunity but destroying one's trading discipline to participate in a move.

2. BTC Trade Review for Issues 1-20

This cycle, a total of 20 strategies were released for BTC. Among them: no entry triggered: 10 times, actual trades triggered: 10 times, take profit: 9 times, stop loss: 1 time, win rate: 90%. Friends who need verification can check previous articles!

Issue 1: July 13

Short at the 63666~64600 area. The highest rebound was 63266, which did not reach the planned entry area, hence not triggered.

Result: Not entered.⚠️

Issue 2: July 14, short at the 63300~64600 area. After market triggering, the trend did not follow expectations, ending with a stop loss.

Result: Stop loss.❌

Issue 3: July 15, short at the 65400~66000 area. The highest rebound was 65589, then it fell to the lowest at 62505.

Result: Target take profit reached.✅

Issue 4: On the evening of July 15, layout of short positions at the 66000~66800~68000 area. The highest did not reach the planned area.

Result: Not triggered.⚠️

Issue 5: July 16, short at the 65500~66400~67200 area, highest rebound 64573, did not enter the planned area.

Result: Not triggered.⚠️

Issue 6: On the evening of July 16, short at the 64700~65400 area. Highest 64874, precisely entered the planned area.

Then fell to the lowest at 62505.

Result: Take profit.✅

Issue 7: July 17, short at the 63800~64600 area.

Not triggered.⚠️

Issue 8: July 18, short at the 64400~66200 area.

Not triggered.⚠️

Issue 9: July 20, short at the 65000~67000 area. Highest 65048, entered the planned area.

Then it dropped to around 64000.

Result: First target take profit, reduced position to protect profit.✅

Issue 10: July 21, short at the 66900~68000 area. Highest 66924, precisely entered.

Result: Target take profit reached.✅

Issue 11: July 23, short at the 66200~66900 area. Highest 65793.

Result: Not triggered.⚠️

Issue 12: July 24, short at the 65450~66900 area. Highest 65780, fell to around 63666.

Result: Take profit.✅

Issue 13: July 26, short at the 64600~65700 area. Highest 65722, lowest 62660.

Result: Take profit.✅

Issue 14: July 27, short at the 65700~67000 area. Highest 65722.

Result: Precisely entered and took profit.✅

Issue 15: July 28, short at the 64300~65800 area. Highest 64084.

Result: Not triggered.⚠️

Issue 16: July 29, short at the 64500~65800 area. Highest 64715. Then it dropped to 63234.

Result: Take profit.✅

Issue 17: July 30, short at the 65300~66000 area. Highest 65390. Then achieved target at 62500.

Result: Take profit.✅

Issue 18: July 31, short at the 64700~65300 area. Highest 64476. Deviation of 223 points.

Result: Not triggered.⚠️

Issue 19: August 1, short at the 64000~65200 area. Highest rebound 63126.

Result: Not triggered.⚠️

Issue 20: August 2, short at the 63800~65000 area. Highest rebound close to planned area 63779, but ultimately 20 points short.

Result: Not triggered.⚠️

3. ETH Trade Review for Issues 1-20

A total of 20 strategies were released for ETH in this cycle. No entry triggered: 10 times, actual trades triggered: 10 times, take profit: 9 times, stop loss: 1 time, win rate: 90%

Issue 1: July 13, short at the 1810~1830 area. Highest 1792.

Not triggered.⚠️

Issue 2: July 14, short at the 1800~1880 area. Stop loss after triggering.

Result: Stop loss.❌

Issue 3: July 15, short at the 1910~1970 area. Highest 1946. Lowest 1800.

Result: Take profit.✅

Issue 4: On the evening of July 15, short at the 1970~2040 area. Highest 1936.

Not triggered.⚠️

Issue 5: July 16, short at the 1950~1990 area.

Not triggered.⚠️

Issue 6: On the evening of July 16, short at the 1907~1935 area. Highest 1894.

Not triggered.⚠️

Issue 7: July 17, short at the 1860~1907 area.

Not triggered.⚠️

Issue 8: July 18, short at the 1875~1968 area.

Not triggered.⚠️

Issue 9: July 20, short at the 1890~1970 area. Highest 1896. Lowest 1850.

Result: First target take profit.✅

Issue 10: July 21, short at the 1970~2037 area.

Not triggered.⚠️

Issue 11: July 23, short at the 1890~1967 area. Lowest 1846.

Result: Take profit.✅

Issue 12: July 24, short at the 1885~1967 area. Lowest 1846.

Result: Reduced position to protect profit.✅

Issue 13: July 26, short at the 1888~1967 area. Highest 1982. Lowest 1855.

Result: Partial take profit.✅

Issue 14: July 27, short at the 1967~2055 area. Highest 1982. Lowest 1855.

Result: Take profit.✅

Issue 15: July 28, short at the 1920~1970 area. Highest 1936. Lowest 1870.

Result: Reduced position and continued speculation.✅

Issue 16: July 29, short at the 1935~1940 area. Highest 1935. Precise entry.

Result: Continue with reduced position after achieving target.✅

Issue 17: July 30, short at the 1940~1970 area. Highest 1936. Deviation of 4 points.

Not triggered.⚠️

Issue 18: July 31, short at the 1920~1940 area. Highest 1910. Deviation of 10 points.

Not triggered.⚠️

Issue 19: August 1, short at the 1900~1958 area. Highest 1874. Deviation of 26 points.

Not triggered.⚠️

Issue 20: August 2, short at the 1890~1900 area. Highest 1898. Lowest 1838.

Result: Precisely entered, currently continuing to hold.✅

4. Final Data Statistics for 20 Issues

BTC Statistics: Number of strategies: 20 times, not triggered: 10 times, actual trades: 10 times, profit: 9 times, loss: 1 time, win rate: 90%

ETH Statistics: Number of strategies: 20 times, not triggered: 10 times, actual trades: 10 times, profit: 9 times, loss: 1 time, win rate: 90%

Overall statistics: A total of 40 strategies for BTC and ETH combined.

Among them: not triggered strategies: 20 times, actual trades participated: 20 times, profitable trades: 18 times, loss trades: 2 times, overall win rate: 90%

The biggest takeaway from these 20 issues is not the 90% win rate, because no trading system can always be correct. What is truly worth summarizing is: First, waiting is more important than predicting. Many times, the market looks like it is about to break out, but if it hasn’t reached your trading area, choose to give up. Missing an opportunity does not mean failure. Lack of discipline is the real failure.

Second, controlling risk is more important than pursuing profit. There is always uncertainty in the trading market, a wrong judgment is not terrible; what’s terrible is not having a stop loss or controlling position after the mistake.

Third, trading is not about finding 100% opportunities, but executing repeatedly under a probability advantage. The market offers opportunities every day, but not every opportunity belongs to you. Sticking to your trading logic and accepting market uncertainty is key to long-term survival.

The 20 issue trading strategy diary is just a stage record. The future market will still change, and new trends and challenges will emerge. Keep recording and keep reviewing. Because what trading ultimately competes on is not who predicts the best, but who can maintain stable execution in the long-term market.

The "Jiang Feng Trading Strategy Diary" records the market, and also documents my growth.

⚠️: Explanation of unentered strategies: Unentered strategies do not mean they are wrong; in most cases, they can proceed and be profitable later. However, strategies marked as not entering before the next day's strategy writing are recorded as unentered strategies.

⚠️: Explanation of take profit strategies: Many of the previous take profit strategies were completed at the first target or were later supplemented with reminders to reduce positions while protecting profits, such as the shorts at 66900, 65700, and near 65300 high positions, which currently have their positions reduced while leaving a small part continuing in the game. As everyone gradually reduces their positions, the average prices may differ with subsequent strategies adding positions, and as for whether the protective loss was hit, it cannot be uniformly notified. The review simply serves as a record of the strategies!

The twentieth issue of Jiang Feng Trading Strategy perfectly ends! Looking forward to the next twenty issues, we can chat and laugh again! Wishing everyone smooth trading!

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