1. Today's core news summary

1. Macroeconomic: Falling oil prices ease inflation concerns, risk appetite marginally recovers
The geopolitical conflict in the Middle East still exists, but both Brent and WTI crude oil fell during the day, leading to a marginal reduction in market worries about secondary inflation. The strength of the US dollar index weakened, global risk asset sentiment improved, and the cryptocurrency market experienced a synchronous rebound.

2. Regulatory: The CLARITY Act received key advancement, accelerating global compliance processes
The US CLARITY Act made substantial progress, with Trump's side accepting relevant ethical terms of the act. The bill is expected to enter full Senate voting in early August. If passed, it will greatly clarify the regulatory boundaries for crypto assets. Additionally, Russia's State Duma today conducted a second reading of the crypto market regulatory bill, and Ripple officially obtained payment licenses for the entire European region, with the global compliance framework continuing to be implemented.

3. Funding: Continuous ETF inflow + large investors increasing positions, ETH becoming a favored asset
The US Bitcoin spot ETF has seen continuous net inflows for two weeks, totaling $273 million over two weeks, ending a previous trend of over $8 billion in net outflows for eight consecutive weeks, with BlackRock's IBIT being the main inflow contributor. Renowned crypto investor Arthur Hayes once again increased his position by 1,332.5 ETH, and the inflow strength of Ethereum ETFs is stronger than BTC, making ETH the leading asset in this round of mainstream coin rebounds.

4. Market sentiment and sectors: Widespread rebound under extreme fear, DeFi sector leads
The cryptocurrency fear and greed index is at 25, still in the "extreme fear" zone, but the market has started a widespread rebound. In the past 24 hours, the total market capitalization has recovered to $2.31 trillion, and the overall DeFi sector has increased by 1.7%, with Lido (LDO) rising over 11% in a single day, leading the entire market.

5. Industry dynamics: Traditional finance accelerates layout, derivative ecosystem improves
Grayscale has officially submitted a Worldcoin (WLD) spot ETF application to the SEC; the London Stock Exchange plans to introduce 24-hour trading services to further connect with the unique trading characteristics of the crypto market; HashKey is collaborating with Thai Krungthai Bank to explore cross-border payment scenarios involving the Korean won stablecoin.

2. Overall market overview
The market is overall in the "oversold rebound + breakout confirmation" stage, with volume noticeably increased compared to yesterday but has not yet reached trend-level volume. During the day, attention should be paid to the stability of key price points.

3. Mainstream coin intraday strategies and entry point references

1. Bitcoin (BTC)
Market assessment: The 4-hour level has broken through the upper edge of the $65,000 consolidation box for nearly a month, and the rebound structure continues with higher lows. However, volume has not fully released, and there is still pressure from previous trapped positions above, so look to confirm the effectiveness of support on a pullback today.

• Key support:
◦ First support: $64,800 – $64,900 (former resistance turned support, core holding level for the day)
◦ Strong support: $64,200 – $64,300 (bullish-bearish dividing line, breaking below would damage the rebound structure)

• Key resistance:
◦ First resistance: $65,500 – $65,600 (previous high transaction zone)
◦ Strong resistance: $66,000 (integer level + mid-term trapped zone)

• Intraday reference thoughts:
◦ A pullback to the $64,700–$64,900 range stabilizing could enter long positions with light volume, stop loss below $64,200

◦ If rebounding to the $65,500–$65,700 range meets resistance, could short, with stop loss above $66,100
◦ If volume effectively holds above $65,600, targets near $66,000; if it breaks below $64,200, primarily observe.

2. Ethereum (ETH)
Market assessment: Leading mainstream coins, strongly breaking through the $1,900 mark, with a 4-hour rebound slope greater than BTC, with clear funding catalysis; however, spot volume has not increased synchronously, and the rebound is still driven by derivative leverage, with increasing resistance above.

• Key support:
◦ First support: $1,885 – $1,895 (day's opening center, short-term bullish-bearish dividing line)
◦ Strong support: $1,860 – $1,870 (previous consolidation platform, breaking below would slow the rebound pace)

• Key resistance:
◦ First resistance: $1,930 – $1,945 (dense area around the 24-hour high)
◦ Strong resistance: $1,980 – $2,000 (50-day moving average resistance + integer level trapped zone)

• Intraday reference thoughts:
◦ A pullback to the $1,880–$1,895 range stabilizing could enter long positions with light volume, stop loss below $1,855

◦ If rebounding to the $1,930–$1,945 range meets resistance, could short, stop loss above $1,960
◦ If volume effectively holds above $1,945, could target the $1,980-$2,000 range.

3. Solana (SOL)

Market assessment: Following the overall market rebound, the range center shifted from $74-$77 to $75-$79, with reasonable elasticity but insufficient independence. The price trend depends on the overall market; treat it as a range trading approach today.

• Key support:
◦ First support: $76.5 – $77.0 (day's short-term holding level)
◦ Strong support: $75.0 – $75.5 (bullish-bearish dividing line, breaking below would return to weak consolidation)

• Key resistance:
◦ First resistance: $78.0 – $78.5 (near the 24-hour high)
◦ Strong resistance: $79.5 – $80.0 (integer level + previous high transaction zone)

• Intraday reference thoughts:
◦ A pullback to the $76.3–$77.0 range stabilizing could enter long positions with light volume, stop loss below $74.8

◦ If rebounding to the $78.0–$78.6 range meets resistance, could short, stop loss above $79.5

◦ A volume breakout above $78.6 could target near $80; if breaking below $75, primarily avoid.
Additional operational reminders

1. Market liquidity gradually recovers on Tuesday, but fluctuations near key price points can be magnified. It is recommended to operate with light positions and strict stop-losses, keeping each position at a lower level.
2. Core variables to observe during the day: performance of tech stocks after US stock market opens, real-time fund flows of Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs, latest dynamics of the CLARITY Act.
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