1. Today's Core News Summary (July 19, 2026)
1. Regulatory Aspect: CLARITY Bill Vote Approaches, Sentiment Marginally Recovers
The U.S. Senate is expected to vote on the CLARITY Bill from July 20 to 24, which aims to classify mature tokens like Ethereum as digital commodities, likely significantly reducing regulatory uncertainty. Legislators have recently expressed optimistic expectations for the bill's passage, becoming one of the core catalysts for this round of rebound.
2. Macroeconomic Aspect: Inflation Decreases + Rate Cut Expectations Heat Up, Risk Assets Benefit
The U.S. CPI decreased year-on-year to 3.5%, lower than market expectations, and the probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates in July increased to 94%, with expectations for rate cuts in September continuing to rise. The dollar index weakened, improving global risk asset sentiment, benefiting the cryptocurrency market simultaneously.
3. Capital and Sentiment Aspect: Continuous Net Inflow into ETFs, Fear Index Moves Away from Extreme Range
The Bitcoin spot ETF has seen continuous net inflows for three days, becoming an important support for prices; the crypto fear and greed index rose to 28, with the market moving from "extreme fear" to "fear," and defensive sentiment has weakened.
4. Capital Rotation: Tech Stocks Under Pressure, Some Funds Shift to Crypto Market
With the weakness in the U.S. semiconductor sector and a pullback in Nasdaq, some funds have flowed out from high-priced tech stocks into the previously adjusted crypto market, showing a short-term "teeter-totter effect" between Bitcoin and tech stocks.
5. Liquidation Data: Shorts Continuously Squeezed
In the past 24 hours, over 50,000 people were liquidated across the market, with the scale of short liquidations exceeding that of long positions, and short-term short squeezing momentum is still being released, but weekend trading volume has shrunk, and the upward momentum has weakened.
2. Overall Market Overview
As of the afternoon of July 19 Beijing Time, the crypto market is generally showing strong oscillation, with light trading over the weekend and volume reduced by about 40%-50% compared to weekdays:
• BTC priced around $64,700 - $64,800, with a 24-hour increase of about 1.3%, building momentum before the $65,000 level
• ETH priced around $1,860 - $1,870, with a 24-hour increase of about 1.4%, slightly stronger than BTC
• SOL priced around $75.6 - $76.0, with a 24-hour increase of about 0.8%, oscillating with the broader market
The market is overall in a "post-rebound oscillation consolidation" state, with the lows gradually rising, but the key resistance has not been effectively broken, focusing mainly on range strategies during the day, with subsequent following through after breakout.
3. Daily Strategies and Entry Point References for Mainstream Coins
1. Bitcoin (BTC)
Market Qualitative Analysis: The 4-hour level oscillation upward structure is intact, with the lows gradually rising, establishing a phase strong support around $63,800; the upper level of $65,000 is a short-term dividing line between bulls and bears, with insufficient volume over the weekend, primarily focusing on range trading.
• Key Support:
◦ First Support: $64,200 - $64,300 (short-term holding point for the day)
◦ Strong Support: $63,800 - $63,900 (dividing line between bulls and bears; below this, the short-term structure turns weak)
• Key Resistance:
◦ First Resistance: $64,900 - $65,000 (round number + recent high point)
◦ Strong Resistance: $65,500 - $65,600 (July 15 high point + 60-day moving average pressure)
• Daily Reference Strategy:
◦ A rebound stabilizing at $64,100 - $64,300 can allow for light long positions, with a stop-loss below $63,700
◦ If it rebounds to the $64,900 - $65,100 range and encounters resistance, consider shorting, with a stop-loss above $65,500
◦ If it effectively stands above $65,000 with increased volume, look towards near $65,500; drop below $63,800 then take a wait-and-see approach.
2. Ethereum (ETH)
Market Qualitative Analysis: Successfully holding the core demand area around $1,850, with the short-term rebound structure remaining intact; the derivatives market shows bullish dominance (long-short ratio of 2.07), but there is dense resistance above $1,900, making independent movements difficult, requiring BTC cooperation for breakout.
• Key Support:
◦ First Support: $1,845 - $1,850 (near daily pivot point)
◦ Strong Support: $1,825 - $1,830 (dividing line for the day; dropping below this weakens the rebound structure)
• Key Resistance:
◦ First Resistance: $1,870 - $1,875 (Fibonacci 0.382 level + pivot point R1)
◦ Strong Resistance: $1,885 - $1,900 (previous high transaction density area)
• Daily Reference Strategy:
◦ If it stabilizes in the $1,840 - $1,850 range, can consider light long positions, with a stop-loss below $1,820
◦ If it rebounds to the $1,870 - $1,880 range and encounters resistance, consider shorting, with a stop-loss above $1,900
◦ If it effectively stabilizes above $1,875, look for highs in the $1,890 - $1,900 range.
3. Solana (SOL)
Market Qualitative Analysis: More elastic than mainstream coins but lacking independence, oscillating in the $74 - $77 range along with the broader market, with a lack of clear trends at the 4-hour level, and general capital attention is moderate, treating it with a range trading mindset.
• Key Support:
◦ First Support: $74.8 - $75.0
◦ Strong Support: $74.0 - $74.2 (dropping below this will indicate a short-term weakness)
• Key Resistance:
◦ First Resistance: $75.9 - $76.1
◦ Strong Resistance: $76.4 - $77.0
• Daily Reference Strategy:
◦ If it stabilizes in the $74.7 - $75.0 range, consider light long positions with a stop-loss below $73.8
◦ If it rebounds to the $75.9 - $76.2 range and encounters resistance, consider shorting with a stop-loss above $77.2
◦ A breakout with volume above $76.4 can look towards near $77; breaking below $74 would lead to avoidance.
Additional Operating Reminders
1. Weekend market liquidity is thin, making extreme spike movements easy. It is advised to operate light positions and set strict stop losses, keeping positions at regular levels within 50%.
2. Continuously monitor core variables: Progress of the CLARITY Bill vote, fund flows from Bitcoin ETFs, and the correlation of the dollar index with U.S. stock market openings.
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