1. The US Senate discusses the Strategic Bitcoin Reserve Bill today, proposing to purchase 1 million BTC

The US Senate will discuss the Strategic Bitcoin Reserve Bill today, marking the first discussion in months on the topic of purchasing 1 million BTC.   -original

2. US stock market opens sharply lower: Dow down 528 points, Nasdaq down over 472 points, S&P 500 down 1.2%

3. Spot gold breaks $4020/oz, daily increase of 1.10%

4. The probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates in July is 85.6%, cumulative rate hike of 25 basis points probability is 51.2% in September

According to CME Fed Watch, the probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates in July is 85.6%, and the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point hike is 14.4%; the probability of maintaining interest rates until September is 41.4%, the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point hike is 51.2%, and the probability of a cumulative 50 basis point hike is 7.5%. AI Interpretation: Current interest rate path expectations show a strong consensus in the market for no short-term policy changes. The significant rise in September rate hike probabilities reflects the market's repricing of sticky inflation and the tightening policy cycle. This shift in expectations directly undermines the logical support for rapid rate cuts within the year. The Federal Reserve's intention to maintain high interest rates has been fully reflected in financial markets. Investors are quickly adjusting their asset allocation to cope with a prolonged high interest rate environment.   -original

5. Federal Reserve's Harker: Inflation is too high and widespread, persistently high inflation is a greater concern

Federal Reserve official Harker stated that inflation is too high and widespread, and persistently high inflation is a greater concern.   -original

6. Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps attacks the Udeid Air Base of the US military in Qatar, causing equipment damage

According to CCTV International News, the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps of Iran announced on July 17 that its aerospace forces launched an attack on the U.S. military's Udeid Air Base located in Qatar, completely destroying a remote radar system and several aerial refueling aircraft, while several other military planes sustained serious damage.   -original

7. Goldman Sachs: Central bank gold purchasing demand will support gold prices, average monthly purchases for this year and next year will be 50 tons and 40 tons, respectively

Goldman Sachs stated that despite facing pressure from the Federal Reserve's tightening expectations, central bank buying will provide bottom support for gold. In May, central bank gold purchases totaled 81 tons, with a three-month average monthly purchase volume of 67 tons, far exceeding the average level of 17 tons before 2022. Goldman Sachs analysts believe that as central banks hedge geopolitical and financial risks through reserve diversification, the trend of central banks increasing gold holdings will continue for many years. Goldman Sachs predicts that the average monthly purchase volume for this year and next year will be 50 tons and 40 tons, respectively.   -original

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