1. Core News on July 16

1. Macroeconomic Federal Reserve (Core Positive)

U.S. June CPI data fell short of market expectations, inflation cooled, and CME tools indicate the probability of a Fed interest rate hike in July dropped to 10%, while expectations for a rate cut in September rose to 59.6%; U.S. Treasury yields declined, the dollar weakened, and funds continued to flow into risk assets, providing liquidity support for the crypto market.

2. Continuous ETF Fund Influx (Institutional Bullish Signal)

• Yesterday, BTC spot ETF had a net inflow of $107.7 million, with BlackRock's IBIT alone accounting for $80.8 million, marking nine consecutive days of fund inflow as institutions continue to accumulate at lower levels;

• ETH spot ETF also saw a net inflow of $53.9 million, with institutional funds increasing their investments in the Ethereum ecosystem;

• The SEC has postponed the review of the SOL spot ETF application, temporarily suppressing SOL's upward potential, but medium to long-term expectations remain supportive.

3. Industry and Regulatory Updates

1. The Solana Policy Institute submitted a proposal to the CFTC, suggesting simplification of wallet compliance rules and recognition of on-chain attestations, which is a long-term positive for the standardization of the SOL industry, but there is no immediate market catalyst in the short term;

2. The total amount of liquidations across the network in 24 hours was $128 million, with long liquidation accounting for 62%, and the upper bound of trapped positions showed slight relief, reducing selling pressure;

3. The market fear and greed index is at 25, remaining in extreme fear, with strong sentiment of fund observation, and the rebound lacks volume, thus not forming a trend reversal.

4. Overall Data on the Market

The total crypto market capitalization is $2.29 trillion, BTC current price is $64,550 (24h -0.22%), ETH current price is $1,914 (24h +2.15%), SOL current price is $76.7 (24h -1.1%); the market shows significant differentiation, with Ethereum leading strongly, Bitcoin in a sideways trend, and SOL showing weak fluctuations.

2. General Market Trend Judgment
Cooling inflation and continuous ETF inflows provide support, but market sentiment is extremely fearful, trading volume is shrinking, and the overall situation is a low-level range repair rather than a trend reversal. Operational Strategy: Sell high and buy low in the range, engage in low-margin buy positions, primarily aiming for high selling on rebounds, and do not chase prices.

3. BTC Bitcoin | Market Analysis + Operating Strategy

Technical Analysis
Price stabilizes above the 50-day moving average at 64,100, with 4-hour fluctuations and consolidation, RSI at 57 close to neutral but biased towards bullish, yet the volume is insufficient; above 65,200-65,500 exists a dense trapped position, while 63,500 serves as the bull's defensive lifeline.

Key Levels
• Intraday Resistance: 64,900-65,300 (First Resistance), 66,000 (Medium-term Strong Resistance)

• Intraday Support: 63,900-64,200 (Short-term Support), 63,500 (Strong Support), 62,400 (Bull-Bear Divide)

1. Steady Bull Position (Buy on Pullback)
Entry Range: Stabilize and enter at 63,900-64,200
Stop Loss: Below 63,400
Take Profit: 65,200 → 65,900

2. Short-term Bear Position (Pressure on Rebound)
Entry Range: Attempt short at 65,100-65,400 during stagnation
Stop Loss: Above 65,900
Take Profit: 64,300 → 63,800

4. ETH Ethereum | Market Analysis + Operating Strategy

Technical Analysis
Among the three major cryptocurrencies, the trend is the strongest, breaking through the neckline at 1,825, stabilizing above all short-term moving averages, and the 4-hour bullish structure is intact; the upper range of 1,940-1,950 acts as strong resistance from the 100-day moving average, and sufficient support on pullbacks favors a bullish stance.

Key Levels
• Intraday Resistance: 1,930-1,950 (First Resistance), 2,040-2,080 (Medium-term Resistance)

• Intraday Support: 1,860-1,880 (Short-term Support), 1,820 (Strong Weakness Divide), 1,780 (Strong Support)

1. Priority Bull Position
Entry Range: Layout on stabilization at 1,860-1,880
Stop Loss: Below 1,815
Take Profit: 1,945 → 2,030

2. Light Bear Position (Only on Pressure)
Entry Range: Short on pressure at 1,940-1,960
Stop Loss: Above 2,000
Take Profit: 1,890 → 1,860

5. SOL Solana | Market Analysis + Operating Strategy

Technical Analysis
Drag due to ETF delay news has weakened the price trend, long-term pressure from the 200-day moving average, triangle convergence oscillation in the $73-77 range; volatility is high, and there's fierce betting between bulls and bears, suitable only for very small position short-term operations.

Key Levels
• Intraday Resistance: 79.5-80.5 (First Resistance), 82.5 (Strong Resistance)

• Intraday Support: 74.5-76 (Short-term Support), 73 (Strong Support), 69.8 (Medium-term Lifeline)

1. Left-Side Bull Position (Breaking Strategy)
Entry Range: Lightly accumulate position at 74.8-76 after stabilization
Stop Loss: Below 72.8
Take Profit: 79.8 → 82

2. Short-term Bear Position (Priority Strategy)
Entry Range: Short on pressure at 79.2-80.2
Stop Loss: Above 83
Take Profit: 76.5 → 74.6

6. Unified Risk Control Operating Reminder
1. Market sentiment is still in extreme fear, and there are no heavy data releases in the evening, with high probability of narrow-range fluctuations; refrain from heavy positions and frequent operations.

2. The volatility of SOL is far higher than that of BTC and ETH, with a single asset position not exceeding 10% of total funds; control BTC and ETH positions within 20%

3. If BTC effectively falls below 63,500, all bullish positions become invalid, and one should observe from the sidelines; if it stabilizes above 65,500, it can be considered for bullish positions.
[We invite you to join the cryptocurrency community group]
1. 📢 24-hour live class + 15 senior analysts
2. 💸 No cost throughout, with Binance, Ouyi, BG, the highest rebate, and at least 70% rebate on AnCoin
3. Trading Department | To solve your questions on liquidation and trading
4. 📈 Real-time trading courses | Keep pace with the market rhythm, hands-on practical teaching
Tencent Meeting: 886-845-9215

免责声明：本文章仅代表作者个人观点，不代表本平台的立场和观点。本文章仅供信息分享，不构成对任何人的任何投资建议。用户与作者之间的任何争议，与本平台无关。如网页中刊载的文章或图片涉及侵权，请提供相关的权利证明和身份证明发送邮件到support@aicoin.com，本平台相关工作人员将会进行核查。