1. Today's core news (July 13)

1. Policy: The U.S. Senate reconvenes today, and the House of Representatives will hold a digital asset hearing on the 15th-16th. The "Digital Asset Market Clarity Act" enters a critical advancement window, and the market is closely watching legislative progress. If there is no substantial breakthrough this week, the probability of passage this year will significantly decrease.

2. Macro: The geopolitical situation in the Middle East continues to heat up, but the market's pricing focus has gradually shifted to this week's U.S. inflation data and the second-quarter earnings season. Risk assets are generally entering a wait-and-see period; the crypto market continues to show limited volatility over the weekend, with funds taking a defensive stance.

3. Industry: The U.S. spot Bitcoin ETF ends eight consecutive weeks of outflows, marking the first net inflow, with institutional sentiment marginally improving; Michael Saylor releases the latest "Orange Dot Chart," and the market expects Strategy (formerly MicroStrategy) to announce a new Bitcoin acquisition plan.

4. Sentiment data: The global crypto market capitalization is approximately $2.26 trillion, with a 24-hour increase of 0.6%; Bitcoin's market share is 56.3%; the fear and greed index is in the range of 26-30, maintaining a "panic" state.
2. Overall market overview

The current market is in a bottom-building phase after a high-level consolidation, with decreasing trading volume and a relatively balanced force between bulls and bears. The short-term direction will depend on the pace of the Clarity Act's advancement and macro data releases. Bitcoin is fluctuating in the range of $63,000-$64,000, mainstream coins are following the market's volatility, and some altcoins are showing structural trends.
3. Strategies and entry points

1. Bitcoin (BTC)
• Technical: The price is running below the 50-day moving average (approximately $65,200), with $64,000 as a strong resistance in the short term; the support range is $63,000-$63,200, which has been tested multiple times; the 4-hour MACD bullish momentum is retreating, and the RSI is in a neutral to low position, indicating a demand for short-term rebound recovery.

• Strategy: Focus on low buying within the support zone, switching to a wait-and-see approach if key support is broken.

◦ Conservative long entry: $63,100 - $63,220
◦ Aggressive long entry: $63,350 - $63,380 (entering small positions after a bounce and stabilization)
◦ Unified stop loss: below $63,000 (if effectively broken, support will fail)
◦ First take profit: $63,780 - $63,810 (30-day moving average resistance)
◦ Second take profit: $64,000 psychological level

2. Ethereum (ETH)
• Technical: $1,800 is a dividing line for bulls and bears, while also nearing the upper trend line of the daily descending channel; the lower Bollinger Band near $1,790 provides strong support; RSI has risen from an oversold area to a neutral region, and the rebound structure has not been broken.

• Strategy: If the support at $1,790 holds, continue to watch for a rebound recovery; if broken, the risk of a drop to previous lows increases.

◦ Conservative long entry: $1,783 - $1,791
◦ Aggressive long entry: $1,798 - $1,800
◦ Unified stop loss: below $1,777
◦ First take profit: $1,810 - $1,812
◦ Second take profit: $1,814 - $1,816 (Bollinger middle band resistance)

3. Solana (SOL)
• Technical: A small upward candle on the daily chart gradually rises; the support zone of $77-$78 has been tested multiple times, and bearish momentum has been sufficiently released; the upper level of $79.5-$80 has accumulated short-term profit-taking, which is a strong pressure point temporarily; the overall trend is slightly bullish, with greater elasticity than major coins.

• Strategy: Buy on pullbacks to support, and reduce positions in batches as it approaches resistance levels.

◦ Long entry: $77.8 - $78.0
◦ Stop loss: below $76.5
◦ First take profit: $79.5
◦ Second take profit: $80.8
4. Operational considerations
1. The news today is light, and the market is likely to maintain a range-bound fluctuation. Avoid chasing highs and lows, and prioritize operations near support/resistance levels.
2. This week has a concentration of risk events, so it is advisable to control overall positions and avoid holding large overnight positions.
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