Compared to semiconductors, I still prefer oil, mainly because it is clear and very simple, hassle-free. From the current situation, although the United States and Iran are still in conflict, and the Strait of Hormuz is currently being limited by Iran, the price of WTI is still continuously falling.
Today, it remains below 72 dollars, especially since it has already entered the trading time for U.S. stocks, which means that major global investors, including those in the United States, believe this conflict is just a minor incident and will not have too much impact on oil prices.
Therefore, even though it is still being volatile, the oil price just refuses to rise. The short position on WTI at 75 dollars is not only profitable but also earns some funding rates daily, which is quite good.
https://x.com/MarineTraffic/status/2075574467833602318/video/1
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