💡 As the macro game of the second half of 2026 enters its summer peak, the US stock market is testing the nerves of every cross-asset hunter in a dramatically fractured manner.
On the afternoon of July 10, Beijing time, as the US stock market was about to open, stock index futures showed a clear mixed and weak trend—Dow futures were slightly up, but S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 futures both fell into the retracement pull zone.
Yesterday (July 9), the three major indices collectively closed higher in the rebound fueled by tech stocks, with the Nasdaq soaring +1.30%, and the SOXX semiconductor index skyrocketing by 3%, directly shattering the negative geopolitical gloom surrounding the US-Iran situation!
However, with the surge of profit-taking pressure on Friday and the upcoming listing price of SK Hynix US ADR—an AI supply chain nuclear event—the battle of bulls and bears has already begun. How should smart money position itself amid high volatility and rotation cleansing?
👉 Click to enter Aster's exclusive trading channel:
https://www.asterdex.com/zh-CN/referral/9C50e2
🧱 1. Market Data Breakdown: Nasdaq Soars +1.30% Leads the Gain, Facing Relentless Profit-Taking Pressure at Friday's Open
Looking back at the complete closing of the previous trading day (Thursday, July 9), the US stock bulls put up a strong counterattack:
[All three major indices rebounded, tech stocks regained dominance]
Dow Jones Industrial Average: Closed at 52,487.41 points, up +0.27% (+139.02 points), traditional sectors performed relatively sluggishly, but overall sentiment stabilized.
S&P 500 Index: Closed at 7,543.64 points, up +0.81% (+60.93 points), successfully establishing a short-term bullish defense zone.
Nasdaq Composite Index: Closed at 26,206.89 points, soaring +1.30% (+336.24 points), serving as the absolute iron-blood engine of this rebound.
Oil prices retreating diminish geopolitical panic, AI storage super cycle reignites The risk aversion triggered by US-Iran conflicts the previous day was "diminished" by the market on Thursday.
The prices of WTI crude oil and Brent crude oil both retreated over 2.3% - 2.5%, and the alleviation of inflation expectations directly released the market's risk appetite. The semiconductor sector (SOXX) erupted broadly, with core AI storage and chip stocks like Micron (MU), AMD, Marvell, and ARM showing gains generally between 5% - 9%, while most of the Magnificent 7 tech giants returned to full strength.
Nasdaq futures first retreat, high-level cleansing is inevitable Currently, in the early morning pre-market in the East US, stock index futures began to diverge. Dow futures slightly rose about +0.05%, but S&P 500 futures fell -0.22%, and Nasdaq 100 futures led the decline about -0.5%.
This fits perfectly with the classic trend after a major rise: The early session will face profit-taking pressure from the short-term positions built up on Thursday, leading to intensified short-term fluctuations.
📊 2. Geopolitical issues are just short-term noise; AI supply chain pricing is the core
During the period from July 9 to 10, there was a strong consensus among funds, which provided a core slice for us to strip away the short-term noise and seek out real trends:
Risk appetite rebounds sharply, severe divergence between tech and traditional sectors
The collective rebound on Thursday was essentially a classic repair of "tech-leading risk appetite recovery." The core logic is that after the easing of US-Iran tensions, liquidity space freed by falling oil prices was immediately poured into the AI chip sector by funds.
But it must be noted that the divergence between sectors is obvious; traditional defensive sectors are severely lagging, indicating that this is not a general bull market, but rather that sharp funds are engaging in "targeted抢筹" of AI core assets.
In the short term, geopolitical risks are controllable, and the AI rebound remains the absolute main line; however, high valuations combined with the pre-market futures decline suggest that today's opening will experience a significant volatile washout. In the long run, the demand story for AI has not undergone any fundamental changes, and the corrections in the storage and chip sectors (like MU as a core main line) often present the most exciting "buy-the-dip" opportunities for long-term conviction funds.
"Mediocre investors will panic and cut losses when pre-market futures drop, but real cold-blooded snipers have already adjusted their main account matrix to a battle-ready state! Looking at the US stock market on Friday, the Nasdaq's +1.30% volume surge on Thursday has announced the intact fundamentals of AI chips, with geopolitical noise being ruthlessly discarded by the market.
Short-term trend: Today's opening will inevitably face the phased volatile retreat of profit-taking, and the pre-market weakness of Nasdaq -0.5% is just a smokescreen for major funds to adjust their positions; do not let waiting lead to missing the clearest tech rotation dividend in the second half of the year.
[Aster Exclusive Dividend]: Heavy weight benefit cashback increased to 10%, first come first served!
Bind the invitation code 9C50e2 through the exclusive link below to enjoy:
10% permanent cashback on fees: Convert trading wear and tear into your competitive advantage, accumulating day by day, this is your confidence to overtake competitors.
VIP strategy community: Analysis of major whale movements, wealth codes, and practical operations on airdrops, leading you from a tools advantage to information advantage.
Click the exclusive link:
https://www.asterdex.com/zh-CN/referral/9C50e2
Opportunities will always come when you think it’s over; Aster knocks again.
⚠️ Disclaimer: The above content is for reference only and does not constitute any investment advice. Investing belongs to non-principal guaranteed structured financial products, and there may be settlement risks due to significant deviations of the target asset's price from the peg value during periods of extreme volatility and deleveraging in the cryptocurrency market.
免责声明：本文章仅代表作者个人观点，不代表本平台的立场和观点。本文章仅供信息分享，不构成对任何人的任何投资建议。用户与作者之间的任何争议，与本平台无关。如网页中刊载的文章或图片涉及侵权，请提供相关的权利证明和身份证明发送邮件到support@aicoin.com，本平台相关工作人员将会进行核查。
