💡 As the crypto battles of the second half of 2026 roar to life amidst turbulence and washout, the platform with a truly hardcore foundation and top-tier liquidity has long been refreshing the entire network's cognition with a series of intensive and clear moves!
Recently, Bitcoin swept away the gloom, skyrocketing from $57,800 to a peak of nearly $63,250, with a violent rebound of 5,500 points directly trampling over the $62,500 defense line! However, behind this wave of daily green candles, due to the July 4 holiday resulting in thin weekend liquidity, the market trading volume was about one-third lower than the 30-day average, and the divergence between volume and price at the daily and 4-hour levels has already triggered a "squeeze signal"!
The real trend-setting moment must wait for next week’s semi-annual monetary policy hearing from Federal Reserve Chairman Powell and the June CPI data to drop like a nuclear bomb. A picture of a top-tier cold-blooded hunter's money-grabbing endeavor has been fully unfolded. Don't just be a spectator in confusion; immediately cultivate your main account matrix and accurately devour this wave of platform-level dividends!
👉 Click to enter the exclusive trading channel of Aster:
https://www.asterdex.com/zh-CN/referral/9C50e2
🧱 1. Eco-ironclad foundation: The three main forces are engaged in a hardcore game, with a historical deposit of 50,000 coins hanging over the exchanges In the tangled cycle of stock game, the transport of chips and the wait-and-see attitude of the big players become the most solid defense line:
On-chain data reveals that the group of retail investors holding 0.01-1 BTC has increased their score to as high as 0.8-0.9, becoming the most active accumulation group; at the same time, the net position of long-term holders has doubled from about 30,000 coins to 79,000 coins! However, LTH MVRV still stands at 1.26, indicating that the typical signs of a real market bottom (widespread losses) have not yet appeared.
Last week, BTC deposits on exchanges soared to almost 50,000 coins daily, with the average deposit size doubling directly! CryptoQuant warns that this "deliberate repositioning" driven by whales and institutions has historically shown similar surges before major BTC drops. If the psychological barrier of $60,000 is breached on a weekly basis, BTC is likely to plunge mercilessly toward the realized price of $53,000!
After record outflows of $4.5 billion from the June spot ETF, the first week of July saw a reversal with an inflow of $527 million, yet institutional gaming remains fierce; miners are also beginning to transfer regular assets into custody, with the "hoarding coins" strategy fully switched to "flexible management."
🛠️ 2. New launch ignites volatility: The strong gravitational zone of 63K-65K arrives, allowing for free long-short hedging matrix To achieve the highest win rate amidst high-frequency market fluctuations, one must tightly grasp the key resistance zones and the liquidity dividends of clearing targets. The current market has entered the core conflict zone of major investors:
Fibonacci 63K-65K strong gravitational level: The $63,000-$65,000 range is defined as a region of extremely strong structural resistance. The line of cost for short-term holders lies around $63,200, which has been extremely difficult to effectively breach since June 22. If BTC cannot close daily above $65K, this rally will technically be classified as a "counter-trend correction."
Short-term chip liquidation death line: Chips held for less than 1 month and 3 months have an average cost concentrated around $64,000-$68,000, and a rebound to this zone will certainly face concentrated liquidation pressure from those needing to clear positions; the cycle of "breakthrough → encounter resistance → withdrawal" is a necessary path to form a bottoming consensus.
$657 million short position precise target: Above $63,000, there is an accumulation of $657 million in short liquidation intensity, and a breakthrough could easily trigger a series of short squeezes. However, if unable to stabilize, the lower $526 million in long liquidations is also concentrated, leading to the belief that "the more a rebound relies on short squeezes, the stronger its vulnerability!"
🏆 3. July trend and hearing prospects: Next week brings a real examination, reevaluating three paths Combining the macro storm of the next few days, the Federal Reserve Chairman's semi-annual monetary policy hearing on July 14 and the June CPI data, along with the CLARITY Act hearing on July 17 (dividing SEC and CFTC jurisdiction), will completely decide the direction for the coming months:
Extended oscillation (45% probability, currently the highest): The range is 58,000-65,500. If prices stabilize above $63,200 and receive confirmation of increased volume on working days, it will test the core resistance zone of $64,000-$65,500.
Core oscillation (35% probability): The range is 58,000-62,400. If volume does not keep up early in the week and $63,200 cannot be held, this rally will be invalidated as a "false breakout."
Broad oscillation (20% probability): The range is 58,000-68,000. Next week’s hearing and CPI must release epic favorable news, combined with continued ETF explosive volume and a three-fold resonance of short squeeze, to potentially test below $68,000.
📋 4. Core action checklist for traders
Risk control radar tracking: Keep an eye on the lower boundary of 62,000 and the upper boundary of 63,800. If it breaks above 63,800 with confirmed 4-hour bullish candles, go long targeting $64K-$65K; if it breaks down below 62,000, the bullish defense line collapses, directly targeting a pullback to $60,500-$61,000.
Steady observation of discounts: Wait for the market liquidity to fully recover on Monday. If liquidity sweeps through the resistance zone of $63,500-$63,800 and there are long upper shadows or solid bearish candles, a short signal will be complete, at which point place heavy short positions, with stop-loss set at $64,500.
Aggressive ambush soldiers: Allow for the initial short position near $63,500 using an extremely small position (≤10%), closely monitor the confrontation of bullish and bearish volumes on working days; if prices forcibly break above $63,800, immediately close positions without conditions and observe.
💡 “Mediocre retail investors will only sigh right when the event ends, while the true cold-blooded giants have already filled their main account matrix through the 10% rebate channel!
The trading logic of the moment has already been clarified: currently, the major market is experiencing heavy selling volume, with rebound volume shrinking, and the warning of a false breakout has been sounded. The main account remains calm, waiting for liquidity recovery on Monday; sub-account 01 takes an aggressive route, placing a short position of within 10% around $63,500, closely watching liquidity sweep refusal signals at $63.2K, with stop-loss firmly at $64,500, to aim for a super big space for a pullback to $60,500; sub-accounts 02 to 05 are in Aster’s 24/7 perpetual US stocks or the highly volatile $ANSEM trenches, acting as market price takers for long-short hedging dual arbitrage.
Every transaction volume you generate not only locks in the selling pressure of liquidation chips, but can also earn you a 10% rebate through a privileged channel! There isn’t much time left before next week’s macro launch; if your speed is slow, the first wave of huge profits in the second half of the year will all belong to others!”
[Aster Exclusive Bonus]: Heavy benefits rebate raised to 10% first come, first served!
Bind invitation code 9C50e2 through the exclusive link below to enjoy:
10% fee permanent cashback: Transform transaction wear and tear into your competitive advantage; this accumulates over time and becomes your confidence to overtake your rivals.
VIP strategy community: Analysis of whale movements, wealth codes, and airdrop operations, leading you from being ahead in tools to being ahead in information.
Click the exclusive link:
https://www.asterdex.com/zh-CN/referral/9C50e2
Opportunities always arise right when you think it’s over; Aster knocks again.
⚠️Disclaimer: The above content is for reference only and does not constitute any investment advice. Investment belongs to non-principal protected structured financial products, and within the severe fluctuations of the cryptocurrency market and the deleveraging correction cycles, there may be risks of settlement due to a significant deviation of the underlying asset price from the pegged price, leading to capital being converted into another asset.
免责声明：本文章仅代表作者个人观点，不代表本平台的立场和观点。本文章仅供信息分享，不构成对任何人的任何投资建议。用户与作者之间的任何争议，与本平台无关。如网页中刊载的文章或图片涉及侵权，请提供相关的权利证明和身份证明发送邮件到support@aicoin.com，本平台相关工作人员将会进行核查。
