Is the cryptocurrency market getting quieter?

CN
2 hours ago

I don't know when it started, but the familiar circle has quietly quieted down, becoming the most authentic backdrop of the present.

Do you remember when the last market was booming, the community was flooded with messages from morning till night, some showcasing profit screenshots, others sharing new project logic, discussing support and resistance before the opening, and late-night liquidations and surges could spark hundreds of discussions. Scrolling through social platforms, the screen was full of interpretations of Bitcoin and altcoin trends, newcomers kept entering the market, everyone was filled with the expectation of doubling their money overnight, a slight dip prompted calls for bottom fishing, and a slight rise was all about chasing highs. It was as lively as a market that would never disperse.

But now everything has changed. The once bustling community has fallen silent, the old players who used to monitor and discuss daily are slowly disappearing, the group rarely sees more than ten valid messages a day, and there are few questions and even fewer enthusiastic replies. The once prolific market bloggers have drastically reduced their update frequency, those sharing profits have completely vanished, and even the voices complaining about losses are increasingly rare; everyone's desire to open the trading app has gradually faded.

The data on the market clearly illustrates this quietness. Market liquidity has visibly dried up, trading volumes of altcoins have plummeted, and many mid and small-cap coins have very few transactions in a day, losing their volatility; retail investors are leaving in droves, the bottom-fishing funds that once supported the market are collectively on the sidelines, the participation of young traders has nearly halved, and everyone is shifting their funds to other sectors, no longer willing to gamble in the crypto market.

Funds are voting with their feet.Spot ETFs have repeatedly seen significant net outflows, institutions have shifted from aggressively increasing positions to selectively taking profits, mid-sized whales continue to sell off their holdings, and the buying pace has significantly slowed down, leaving only long-term whales gradually positioning themselves. The entire market's funds are highly concentrated in Bitcoin and Ethereum, with thousands of altcoins sharing less than 20% of the funds, most coins have been in a long-term downtrend, those trapped are unable to average down, and those on the sidelines are unwilling to enter, the market has lost its previous elasticity.

What tortures people more is not the crash, but the endless sideways movement and downtrend. In a bull market, everyone believes that "a drop is an opportunity," adding to their positions to average down at every slight dip; now, small rebounds are weak, small declines are prolonged, and after a slow rise in volume, a steep fall is lurking at any moment, each small rise lacking sustained incremental funds, relying only on short-sellers' stop losses to passively push up prices. The risk-reward ratio for chasing highs is extremely poor, and bottom fishing fears continued declines, neither side is daring to act easily, and the vast majority can only choose to stay in cash and observe.

Many people have exhausted their patience in the long lull. Some can’t withstand long-term being trapped and painfully cut their positions at low points, vowing never to touch the crypto market again; some reduce their positions, keeping only a very small amount of funds in a hands-off approach, no longer staring at the charts for four hours every day; others completely fade from the circle, refocusing their attention on work and life, no longer actively monitoring the candlestick fluctuations. The clamor has dissipated, leaving behind an empty market and a group of silent holders.

But cycles never remain the same, and quietness is never the end of the market. Looking back at each round of bull and bear markets, the true bottom has never been formed by a violent crash but rather completed gradually in an atmosphere of no discussion, no optimism, and extreme liquidity exhaustion. Currently, the exit of retail investors and the clearing of speculative bubbles will strip the market of its impulsive speculative enthusiasm, and instead, it will eliminate those short-term trend-following speculators, leaving behind true long-term traders who understand cycles and uphold risk control.

When the market is lively, everyone can make a little profit, but in quiet times, it tests one’s understanding the most. Do not let the current silence wear down your attitude, and don’t completely give up on the market because of short-term quietness. There is no need for frequent trading to gamble on short-term fluctuations; take advantage of the calm to solidify your trading system, clarify support and resistance, volume-price logic, and on-chain fund signals, maintain good position risk control, and patiently wait for liquidity to return and complete trend signals to land.

The crypto space is becoming increasingly quiet, which is precisely the stage where speculators exit and opportunities are quietly brewing. The clamor will surely return; however, the next round of momentum will only be left for those who can endure loneliness and adhere to the rules.

For more content and information about the crypto space, follow the public account: The Bull Says Market

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