Next week must-watch | June non-farm payroll data released; MiCA transition grace period officially ends (6.29-7.5)

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1 hour ago

Key Forecasts for Next Week

June 30

Strategy Preferred Stock STRC will go ex-dividend and reset monthly dividend rate on June 30;

July 1

Waller, Lagarde, and others will speak at the European Central Bank forum;

Approximately 75% of EU crypto platforms may lose operational eligibility, MiCA grace period will end on July 1, 2026;

Russia plans to ban cryptocurrency mining in Moscow and some regions starting July 1;

July 2

The United States will release June non-farm data on July 2;

July 4

Trump account will open for registration and initial funding on July 4;

From June 29 to July 5, more industry events worth paying attention to are detailed below.

June 29

SharpLink is set to be included in the Russell 2000 and Russell 3000 indices on June 29

Odaily Planet Daily reports that Nasdaq-listed Ethereum treasury company SharpLink announced on platform X that it will be included in the Russell 2000 and Russell 3000 indices, which will officially take effect at the opening of US markets on June 29, 2026, concurrent with the half-year rebalance of the Russell indices.

Binance will list MVLL, TQQQ, SQQQ U-specified perpetual contracts on June 29

Odaily Planet Daily reports that according to the official announcement, Binance contracts will go live with MVLLUSDT, TQQQUSDT, and SQQQUSDT U-specified perpetual contracts from 13:35 to 13:45 (UTC) on June 29, 2026, with a maximum leverage of 20x, a minimum transaction size of 0.01, a minimum nominal value of 5 USDT, and a funding rate ceiling of +2.00%/-2.00%, with a settlement frequency of every 8 hours.

Upbit will delist OXT on June 29

Odaily Planet Daily reports that according to an official announcement, Upbit will delist OXT on June 29.

June 30

Strategy Preferred Stock STRC will go ex-dividend and reset monthly dividend rate on June 30

Odaily Planet Daily reports that the trading price of Strategy's STRC preferred stock is approximately $73, about 27% lower than the $100 par value, prompting investor attention to two events related to June 30. STRC will go ex-dividend on June 30, and eligible holders will receive a dividend of $0.48 per share on July 15; the other event is the reset of the monthly dividend rate, with STRC's current yield close to 15%, and investors expect Strategy to raise the dividend rate from 11.50% to at least 12% or 12.50%. (CoinDesk)

Binance will support the brand change of Toncoin to Gram, removing TON spot trading pairs on June 30

Odaily Planet Daily reports that according to the official announcement, Binance will support the rebranding of Toncoin token TON to Gram token GRAM. On June 30, 2026, at 11:00 AM, Beijing time, Binance will stop trading and remove all existing TON spot trading pairs, including TON/FDUSD, TON/IDR, TON/TRY, TON/U, TON/USD1, TON/USDC, and TON/USDT, automatically cancel all open orders. Binance will suspend TON token recharge and withdrawal services at 11:30 AM, Beijing time, on June 30, 2026, and any TON tokens recharged thereafter will not be credited.

FBI: Victims of OneCoin scam can apply for compensation before June 30

Odaily Planet Daily reports that the FBI reminds victims of the OneCoin international cryptocurrency investment scam that they can apply for compensation through the DOJ special program before the June 30 deadline.

This process allows individuals who purchased OneCoin between 2014 and 2019 and suffered direct economic losses from the OneCoin scheme to submit applications. Victims can submit applications via mail, email, or online form. Submission of an application does not guarantee economic compensation. The DOJ states that global investors in OneCoin have lost over $4 billion.

Base eco loan agreement Seamless announces shutdown; users must withdraw funds before June 30

Odaily Planet Daily reports that the Base eco lending agreement Seamless Protocol has announced its shutdown. The UI will go offline on June 30, 2026; after this date, team support will also cease. Users must remove all assets from the protocol before this date, and withdrawing assets through the UI is much simpler than direct contract interaction. Once the UI goes offline, users may still manually interact with the contract to recover assets, but the process is complicated and will not receive team support.

July 1

Waller, Lagarde, and others will speak at the European Central Bank forum

Odaily Planet Daily reports that at 21:30 on July 1, Federal Reserve Chair Waller, European Central Bank President Lagarde, Bank of England Governor Bailey, and Bank of Canada Governor McClam will speak at the European Central Bank forum.

Approximately 75% of EU crypto platforms may lose operational eligibility, MiCA grace period will end on July 1, 2026

Odaily Planet Daily reports that the transitional grace period for the EU's crypto regulation MiCA will officially end on July 1, 2026. As of May 2026, only 194 crypto companies in the EU have obtained formal licenses, while over 3,000 crypto businesses registered in 2024, with approximately 75% of older platforms expected to lose operational eligibility after the grace period ends. Unlicensed platforms must orderly shut down, transfer users to licensed platforms, or completely exit the European market before the deadline.

French regulatory agency AMF warns that unlicensed operations could face up to 2 years of imprisonment and a fine of 30,000 euros. If the platform used by users fails to obtain a MiCA license, users may face situations of inability to deposit or being required to withdraw funds. (Cryptoslate)

Russia plans to ban cryptocurrency mining in Moscow and some regions starting July 1

Odaily Planet Daily reports that the Russian Ministry of Energy has drafted a government resolution to ban cryptocurrency mining in Moscow city, Moscow region, and some areas of Kursk starting July 1, 2026, with the ban lasting until December 31, 2032.

The Russian authorities estimate that Moscow city and Moscow region currently have access to 65 data centers with a total power of 734 megawatts, of which 19 data centers are located within Moscow region, with a total power of 233 megawatts. (TASS)

Tennessee plans to ban crypto ATMs statewide on July 1, escalating fraud regulations

Odaily Planet Daily reports that Tennessee Governor Bill Lee has signed a bill to ban cryptocurrency ATM operations across the state, becoming the second state after Indiana to implement a complete ban.

The bill (HB 2505) has officially taken effect and will be enforced starting July 1. According to the regulations, installing or operating "virtual currency self-service terminals" (i.e., Bitcoin ATMs) will be considered a Class A misdemeanor, with a maximum penalty of one year in prison and a $2,500 fine. Additionally, businesses allowing the devices to be installed will also bear legal responsibility.

Currently, most states in the U.S. have strengthened regulations by implementing licensing systems, trading limits, etc., but full bans remain rare. Data shows that since 2026, 30 states have proposed related legislation, with 20 states having passed laws, indicating a tightening response to fraud risks associated with crypto ATMs.

Hikvision will raise hard drive prices on July 1, original factory hard drive costs increase by over 50% in the third quarter

Odaily Planet Daily reports that Hikvision has recently issued a price adjustment notice to distributors, stating that starting from July 1 of this year, the company's hard drive product prices will be raised. In addition, before July 1, Hikvision's other products will also complete a round of price increases, and this hard drive price adjustment is mainly directed at distributor channels. In the face of the current situation of significant supply and price fluctuations, Hikvision has advised distributors to quickly lock in orders and prices.

In fact, this is not Hikvision's first price adjustment, nor is it an isolated behavior. Regarding the reasons for this price adjustment, insiders indicate that the core issue lies in the persistent squeeze effect brought by the "explosive" growth in AI demand. The procurement cost of hard drives continues to rise, with the original factory's quotation for hard drive costs in the third quarter increasing by over 50% compared to the second quarter of this year, and based on the current market situation, there is still a likelihood of continued price increases for products in the foreseeable future. (Blue Whale Finance)

Polygon zkEVM mainnet Beta version will shut down on July 1, overdue DeFi assets will be unrecoverable

Odaily Planet Daily reports that an official announcement from Polygon states that the Polygon zkEVM mainnet Beta version will officially initiate the shutdown process on July 1, 2026, leaving only about two weeks until the complete cessation of services. The official urgently reminds users to withdraw all on-chain assets and liquidity positions before this deadline, or risk losing their assets.

This shutdown distinguishes between two classes of asset handling rules: funds locked in decentralized finance protocols cannot be automatically migrated; only assets stored in personal wallets and not bridged to the Ethereum mainnet before the deadline will be automatically migrated to Ethereum L1; users can complete claims through a dedicated page. The platform urges users to complete withdrawals and cross-chain operations as soon as possible to avoid the risk of permanent loss of assets.

Mynth: to cease operations on July 1; Novaswap hosting infrastructure will go offline

Odaily Planet Daily reports that Mynth has announced it will cease operations. The announcement states that the team began building the cross-chain protocol three years ago, but the protocol's usage has not reached sustainable operating and scaling levels, making it impossible to maintain past innovation speeds or expand to more blockchains. Mynth will stop supporting the hosting infrastructure running Novaswap, and all operations will cease at 7 AM Beijing time on July 1. Users' funds remain safe and non-custodial, requiring no user action; exchanges will continue processing until that time. The team will provide support via Discord until the end of July.

July 2

The United States will release June non-farm data on July 2

Odaily Planet Daily reports that on July 2, the United States will release the unemployment rate for June, the seasonally adjusted non-farm employment figures for June, the number of initial unemployment claims for the week ending June 27, and the year-on-year/month-on-month average hourly wage data for June.

Robinhood previews July 2 press conference to announce next-generation crypto financial products

Odaily Planet Daily reports that Robinhood has announced an online press conference to be held at 19:00 UK time on July 1, 2026 (2:00 AM Beijing time on July 2) at the Old Royal Naval College in London. Robinhood states that this event will kick off a "borderless market journey" and showcase its latest vision for the future of the financial market.

At that time, Vlad Tenev, Chairman and CEO of Robinhood, will personally launch several new products. The company claims that these products aim to further integrate crypto assets with traditional finance and reshape the landscape of global financial services. Robinhood states that the press conference will focus on the development direction of the new era of the crypto industry and new opportunities for cross-border connectivity in financial markets.

Securitize plans to go public on the NYSE on July 2, expected to raise about $400 million

Odaily Planet Daily reports that Securitize's merger with SPAC Cantor Equity Partners II (Nasdaq code CEPT) is expected to raise about $400 million (including PIPE, excluding related fees), and the new company will be renamed Securitize Corp. after the merger is completed, with common stock expected to be listed on the NYSE under the code "SECZ" starting July 2. The CEPT shareholder meeting is scheduled for June 29 to vote on the transaction, with the current redemption rate below 30%. Securitize claims it has simultaneously obtained regulatory licensing related to digital securities infrastructure in the United States and the EU, with an on-chain physical asset management scale exceeding $4 billion. (PR Newswire)

July 3

None

July 4

Trump account will open for registration and initial funding on July 4

Odaily Planet Daily reports that the "Trump Account" program launched in the US announces it will open for registration and initial funding on July 4; the program was first proposed along with the Big Beautiful Act. The account allows parents to establish tax-deferred investment accounts for children under 18, and funds can be contributed to the account by family, friends, and employers, with a maximum annual contribution of $5,000, with future limits adjusted for inflation. In addition, the Trump account also allows companies to make subsidized contributions for employees' children, with a maximum of $2,500 per year. After the account holder turns 18, it will automatically convert into a traditional IRA structure, allowing continued investment and additional funding. (war.gov)

July 5

None

Others (specific time not determined)

Pakistan: Technical talks between the US and Iran will resume next week

Odaily Planet Daily reports that according to Saudi Arabia's Al Arabiya television: Pakistan has stated that technical talks between the US and Iran will resume next week. (Jin10)

The US government may lift restrictions on Anthropic Fable 5 model as early as next week

Odaily Planet Daily reports that according to sources, the Trump administration is close to allowing Anthropic to restore access to its powerful Fable 5 model, which has been offline for 15 days due to government security concerns. Insiders expect the government may lift the restrictions on Fable 5 as early as next week. Another source indicates that relevant communications are expected to continue over the weekend, and Anthropic is likely to quickly restore access to Fable.

On Friday, the US Department of Commerce allowed Anthropic to restore access to Mythos 5 for a limited number of trusted users. According to Semafor, Commerce Secretary Raimondo stated in a letter to Anthropic on Friday that the company "has worked with the US government to address the risks associated with Mythos 5 and Fable 5." "These efforts have made significant progress." Additionally, Anthropic has committed to working with the US government on agreements, standards, and releases. (Jin10)

The ruling on Federal Reserve Governor Cook's case is expected to be announced next week

Odaily Planet Daily reports that according to market news, with the Supreme Court completing the drafting of the opinion, the ruling on Federal Reserve Governor Cook's case is expected to be announced next week. (Jin10)

Grvt announces complete token economic model; TGE timing adjusted to the end of June

Odaily Planet Daily reports that the decentralized contract exchange Grvt has announced the complete economic model of token GRVT. The total supply of GRVT is 1 billion pieces, with specific allocations as follows:

1. Investors: 19.9%;

2. Team/Core contributors: 19%;

3. Community/Airdrop: 28%;

4. Future Distribution/Rewards: 33.1%;

Moreover, the TGE timing for GRVT has been confirmed to be adjusted to the end of June 2026.

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