Original | Odaily Planet Daily (@OdailyChina)

Author | Asher (@Asher_ 0210)

After the World Cup started, the demand for trading in prediction markets surged rapidly. As of June 24, the cumulative trading volume of the single market for World Cup champions on Polymarket has exceeded 3 billion USD.

But to be honest, what proportion of trial-type newcomers are there?

On the eve of the match, you check your phone and see the probability of Spain winning suddenly plummeting. Everyone in the group is shouting ‘get in,’ your heart races, and you jump in. The next day you wake up, facing a zero-balance account, confused. This is the daily routine of 90% of newcomers on Polymarket—emotional trading.

Experienced players not only watch the market late into the night and frequently adjust their positions, but they also have a wealth of knowledge about team conditions, injury information, scheduling pressures, odds changes, and market sentiment.

What about novices? Most of them place orders impulsively after seeing popular markets, lack stable strategies, and have no reference trading signals, ultimately falling into emotional trading, buying strong teams and increasing positions by following the trend. Once they make a wrong judgment and get carried away, losses are often magnified.

Prediction Position Platform (tool link: https://t.me/PredictPP_Bot), referred to as PPP, precisely addresses this type of need. As a strategy discovery and copy trading execution tool for Polymarket users, PPP helps users filter out noteworthy strategy accounts on Polymarket, continuously pushing valuable trading opportunities, and supports automatic copy trading and position management, making the process from signal discovery to trade execution smoother and more efficient.

In simple terms, PPP resolves the problem of users facing “incomplete visibility, inability to keep up, and slow execution” when participating in Polymarket.

A tool focused on discovering prediction market strategies and executing copy trades

PPP uses TG Bot as the main interactive entry, focusing on Polymarket trading scenarios and providing a complete set of prediction market tools: helping users discover noteworthy addresses, receive timely market changes, and execute trades based on preset parameters and follow-up management.

It adopts a subscription service model (monthly subscription fee of 59 USDC), with fees deducted directly from the safely managed user wallet balance, and currently offers a limited-time discount of only 1.99 USDC.

After subscribing, users can use all of PPP's features, including all-day trading signal monitoring, one-click trading for popular events, exclusive strategy and leaderboard copy address recommendations, AI address analysis, intelligent copy trading management, and more.

Currently, in response to trading demands during the World Cup, PPP has set up a “World Cup Special Zone.” This zone displays upcoming matches and hot information, allowing users to directly view related prediction markets and quickly participate in related predictions through “one-click immediate trading.”

In addition to World Cup-related markets, PPP also supports a broader range of event searches, covering politics, sports, crypto, finance, technology, weather, trending, and latest events across eight modules.

In “Signal Monitoring,” PPP continuously tracks key changes in the prediction market and pushes more noteworthy trading signals to users. These signals include smart money address trades, significant short-term probability changes for predicted events, and rising discussion heat for popular events.

Compared to users repeatedly refreshing market pages on Polymarket, “signal monitoring” can help users discover potential trading opportunities faster and participate directly.

For users already following certain smart money addresses, PPP also provides the “AI Address Analysis” function.

Users can manually input addresses, and using PPP's model algorithm, analyze the historical trading performance of the address with one click, such as total profit and loss, win rate, profit-loss ratio, Sharpe ratio, maximum drawdown, and other analysis metrics. At the same time, manually inputted addresses will also be compared with PPP's internal smart money database to provide users with more dimensions of reference.

These features mainly solve two problems: helping users to search and discover new trading opportunities quickly; helping users to make a more comprehensive judgment on known addresses.

However, in prediction markets, profitable addresses are not necessarily worth following. The profits of certain addresses may come from special information, extreme positions, one-off trends, or capital scale advantages. If users only look at profit rankings, they can easily overlook drawdowns, liquidity, position styles, and actual followability.

Therefore, PPP's more impressive capability is its self-built address database and the resulting “Strategy Square” and “Trading Leaderboard.”

By using the Strategy Square, identify more suitable prediction masters for long-term tracking

On Polymarket, it's not difficult to see individual addresses making profits, but the challenge lies in determining whether the address is worth long-term tracking. Some addresses might have high returns, but they may just be betting on a few high-odds events; some addresses may have a good win rate, but the drawdowns and position risks they carry are not suitable for ordinary users to replicate; there may also be some addresses that rely on special information, capital scales, or extreme position strategies that appear strong but have limited real followability.

Therefore, PPP's “Strategy Square” module displays a multi-dimensional filtering of traders on Polymarket, helping users find strategy accounts better suited for long-term observation and tracking.

In terms of filtering logic, PPP combines indicators such as returns, win rates, drawdowns, activity levels, holding periods, market participation quality, and capital behavior to model and analyze addresses, and combines manual review to minimize accidental profits, abnormal samples, and non-replicable extreme trading behavior, while keeping it updated.

Taking the above figure as an example, if a user selects the second address from the Strategy Square, a professional endgame trader, by clicking “View Details,” they can see more dimensional data analysis of that address, along with parameters such as the trading frequency of that address and the current number of followers.

By clicking “Copy this strategy,” users can set parameters such as copying amounts, maximum position ratios, and automatic take profit levels.

Through the Trading Leaderboard, recommend addresses that have performed outstandingly recently

If the Strategy Square leans more towards long-term observation, then the Trading Leaderboard is more suitable for users to catch recent opportunities.

The rhythm changes quickly in prediction markets, especially during the World Cup, major political events, crypto trends, and macro data releases, where some traders may hit multiple markets in a short period or display stronger judgment capabilities in popular events. For users, such addresses may not be suitable for long-term following but are worth closely observing in the short term.

PPP will screen traders currently outstanding on Polymarket based on recent returns, win rates, activity levels, market participation quality, and capital behavior, helping users quickly discover addresses with stronger recent profit capabilities and more active trading movements.

Specifically, PPP will define a label for each address on the Trading Leaderboard and provide data such as recent 30-day profit and loss, Sharpe ratio, maximum drawdown, and win rate. Users can see how much a certain address has earned recently, as well as further judge whether its earnings are stable, whether the drawdowns are acceptable, and whether the trading style fits their own copy trading.

In addition to addresses filtered from the Strategy Square and Trading Leaderboard, PPP also supports users in custom-adding addresses to follow.

In general, the Strategy Square is suitable for discovering long-term accounts worth copying, the Trading Leaderboard is suited for catching recent outstanding addresses, and custom address following retains the user's own judgment space, while the exclusive AI model address analysis can also assist the user's copy trading judgment.

Position queries and management make copy trading results more controllable

Automatic copy trading does not mean users cannot follow up and adjust after setting up.

PPP provides position queries and management functions after execution of copy trades. In most cases, users are not just following one address; without a unified position entry, users can easily become confused about where their current positions are from and whether the logic for following is still suitable for continued execution. For addresses that have already been copied, PPP will collectively summarize them under “Current Copies” for management, allowing adjustments to the copy amount, risk parameters, or stopping copy trades as needed.

At the same time, PPP also supports viewing historical positions and historical profit and loss data. Through these records, users can further observe the actual performance of different copied addresses, such as which addresses have brought continuous profits, which addresses have experienced larger drawdowns, and which strategies are no longer suitable for continued following.

It can be said that PPP's copy trading process is not just “automatically trading after discovering an address,” but has formed a more complete closed loop—filtering noteworthy addresses, pushing trading signals, subsequently executing copy trading, and finally continuously adjusting positions through position and copy management. For users who want to improve the probability of profits on Polymarket long-term, this viewable, adjustable, and manageable process is more important than simply automatic copy trading.

Non-custodial wallets are the trust foundation of PPP

For copy trading tools, apart from trading efficiency, users are most concerned about the safety of their funds.

PPP adopts a non-custodial wallet model, keeping user assets in their own chain wallet, with the platform not custodizing user assets and not asking users for private keys or mnemonic phrases. Users can export their wallets independently and manage their private keys, account logins, and device security on their own. PPP only undertakes services such as address monitoring, signal aggregation, copy trading execution, and notification pushing; trading funds will not be given to the platform for custody.

As copy trading tools approach execution, the key to trust extends from signal speed to whether asset control rights are clear. PPP chooses the non-custodial wallet model to draw a clearer line between efficiency and security and to provide foundational trust for subsequent automatic copy trading and position management.

From address filtering to signal pushing, PPP is lowering the trial-and-error costs of copy trading

Popular matches and market pricing are changing every day, and active addresses can quickly switch between different events. Ordinary users find it difficult to track numerous accounts over the long term, and it is challenging to determine whether an address's profits come from stable strategies or from short-term luck, extreme positions, or accidental events.

PPP continuously filters traders on Polymarket based on indicators such as returns, win rates, maximum drawdowns, activity levels, holding periods, market participation quality, and capital behavior, helping users more quickly discover addresses that are relatively stable and have further research and tracking value.

On this basis, PPP will also continuously monitor address trading behaviors and changes in popular markets, selecting noteworthy signals such as smart money movements and rapid probability shifts in the market, and promptly pushing them to users.

Users do not need to watch the market all night nor have to repeatedly switch between communities, browsers, and trading pages to efficiently grasp potential market opportunities.

By effectively using tools and leveraging insights from experts across various fields, perhaps this is the evolutionary path for Polymarket newcomers to pay the least tuition.

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