Today is particularly quiet, the United States and Iran are not entangled in the noisy peace agreement, of course, the main one not entangled is Trump, because from the agreement announced by Iran so far, the United States not only does not benefit at all, but also has entries similar to war reparations, and to this, Trump merely commented that this is something the Democrats created without much further statement, however, both Iran and the United States also stated that they would jointly sign the agreement on Saturday Beijing time.

From the performance of WTI prices, the market believes that the Strait of Hormuz will be open, the current oil price is around 75 dollars, this price is the lowest since the U.S. and Iran have been at odds, and from the trend, the rate of decline may exceed my expectations, I initially thought it would take about a month to lower the oil price below 75 dollars, if the agreement can be smoothly signed on Saturday, it is very likely to achieve that on Saturday itself.

Oil prices are pretty much here, the continued downward space is likely to be around 15 dollars, at most chasing the short once more, and once the oil price completes, it suddenly feels a bit empty, not knowing what to do, investments like oil prices with relatively high certainty may not meet again anytime soon.

The focus may temporarily return to Bitcoin, currently the overall trend of bitcoin:native is relatively stable, still maintaining a good synchronization rate with U.S. stocks, if the agreement is successfully signed on Friday, U.S. stocks and BTC may both have a wave of new rises, before that is the interest rate meeting in the early hours of Thursday, this meeting will be more important, and many analysts are likely to be waiting to see Powell's first performance.

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