Just now, both Trump and the Prime Minister of Pakistan announced that the peace agreement is expected to be signed on Sunday. However, while Iran has stated that it is indeed ready to sign the agreement, it has not prepared to sign on Sunday. So now it has turned into a game of "Truth or Dare." Essentially, I believe that regardless of what the final agreement is, the probability of signing a peace agreement is very high, but whether it is signed on Sunday affects my decision on whether I should short WTI.

Now the dilemma lies here. If it really will be signed on Sunday, then I should go ahead and place a short position now. If it is successfully signed, it means that Hormuz will be unblocked, and oil prices will at least drop to around 78 dollars. After thinking it over, I placed a short order for BZUSDT (Brent) at 86 dollars (currently 83.6 dollars) to prevent a rebound. Then I withdrew all the margin from CLUSDT.

Since the profit has already reached 112%, withdrawing all of it means locking in at least 12% profit. I may consider placing a short position on Sunday. If this short position materializes, I might close out the BZUSDT position. This way of doing things is essentially repositioning.

If the peace agreement goes back and forth, I could probably profit from the BZUSDT position and then close CLUSDT, still netting about 70% profit. If it rebounds further, I will short WTI around 88 dollars; if it falls, I will start investing in Brent.

This is the general idea. As for bitcoin:native, I am still completely unconcerned and have opened dual currencies, mostly around 61,000 dollars. I hope to take advantage of this; adding a little to my position at this level is quite good. I can clearly feel that investors still show decent interest in Bitcoin around 60,000 dollars.

If the signing is successful on Sunday, the price of BTC will likely rise a bit, and I am a bit worried that I won't get in on the dual currencies. So I estimate that I will also adjust on Sunday, and it wouldn’t hurt to buy a little BTC.

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