BTC fell 23% this month, halving from its peak, but yesterday we issued 3 signals simultaneously, with a maximum increase of 80%

June 7, 2026 | AlphaQuant Quantitative Research

First, let's look at a set of events that occurred yesterday

Yesterday, June 6, 2026, BTC continued to oscillate at a low near $61,500.

Market sentiment has dropped to a freezing point, with most people waiting, unsure of what to do.

But our model issued three signals on the same day:

On the same day, three signals, with an 80% peak increase in 8 hours.

BTC halved, while our signals went up.

This is not a coincidence; this is the system at work.

Today's BTC: $61,500, what happened?

BTC's current price is $61,500, down a total of 15.17% in the past 7 days, and down a total of 23.48% in the past month, dropping more than 51% from the historical peak of $126,200 in October 2025.

This is a situation that feels desperate for most people.

But in desperate times, opportunities often arise.

How did this round of declines happen?

Trigger One: ETF record outflow for the year

In May, the net outflow of spot Bitcoin ETFs reached approximately $2.97 billion, setting the worst monthly performance in 2026. Funds shifted from the cryptocurrency market to AI-driven tech stocks, marking the most significant capital rotation in the first half of the year.

But rotation is temporary. Funds will ultimately chase the highest risk-adjusted returns.

Trigger Two: Liquidation cascade amplifies declines

BTC falling below $64,000 triggered over $1.1 billion in liquidations, predominantly closing long positions, and the liquidation mechanism amplified normal declines into a crash.

Key point: Declines driven by liquidations do not equal a trend collapse.

Once the liquidations end, panic dissipates, liquidity returns, and rebounds are often faster than expected.

Trigger Three: Four-year cycle pattern

Analysts point out that the current adjustment is merely a normal interpretation of Bitcoin's four-year cycle. Historically, significant retracements have occurred after each bull market peak, but the cycles have never ceased.

After the 2017 peak: maximum retracement of 80%. After the 2021 peak: maximum retracement of 77%. From the 2025 peak to now: maximum retracement of 51%.

Every time a drop is considered "this time it's different," it ultimately proves to be "it's the same."

Technical Analysis: $61,500 is a critical watershed

Support Level Analysis

$60,000~$62,500: current most critical support area

This is the annual low forecast area provided by market prediction models, as well as a range where a considerable amount of on-chain positions accumulate. A 77% probability shows that BTC will find temporary support within this range.

$57,500~$58,000: secondary support

If $60,000 is lost, the next line of defense. The predictive market indicates about a 12% probability of BTC dropping to $57,500.

$55,000: extreme scenario support

Mainstream analysts do not consider this a baseline expectation but rather a tail risk.

Resistance Level Analysis

$65,000~$66,000: short-term primary resistance

The level that has been repeatedly lost recently; regaining it means a preliminary repair of sentiment.

$69,000~$70,000: mid-term key resistance

An important psychological barrier, breaking through it indicates the real beginning of a market reversal.

$76,400~$76,700: three moving average compression zone

The 20-day, 50-day, and 100-day moving averages all compress; regaining them indicates a preliminary trend turning positive.

RSI: Historically oversold levels

The current RSI has dropped to around 28, entering historically oversold territory.

Comparing to history:

• In March 2020, during the COVID crash, RSI fell to a low of 22, followed by BTC rising from $4,000 to $60,000

• In November 2022, following the FTX crash, RSI fell to a low of 25, followed by BTC rising from $16,000 to $73,000

• Now, RSI is around 28, already close to the historical bottom range

While RSI entering extreme oversold territory does not mean the bottom is imminent, it indicates that the declining space is narrowing.

Three Scenario Simulations

Scenario One: $60,000 holds, building a base for a rebound (probability 50%)

Trigger Condition: Effectively holding the $60,000~$62,500 range, end of the liquidation wave, beginning to gently enlarge after a shrink in trading volume

Target Path:

• First target: $65,000~$66,000 (recovering recently lost positions)

• Second target: $69,000~$70,000 (psychological barrier)

• Third target: If June can smoothly recover the $76,000 moving average zone, the end of the month target is $79,000~$82,000

Altcoin correlation: When BTC stabilizes and rebounds, altcoins typically perform 2~5 times that of BTC

Scenario Two: $60,000 fluctuates to build momentum (probability 35%)

Trigger Condition: Repeatedly fluctuating within the $58,000~$63,000 range to digest sentiment

Subsequent Development:

• Panic sentiment gradually dissipates, chips are transferred from weak hands to strong hands

• Structural opportunities in altcoins continue to arise

• Just as ALLO rose 80% in 8 hours yesterday, the fluctuation period is often when altcoins are most active

Scenario Three: Dipping below $60,000 (probability 15%)

Trigger Condition: Macroeconomic unforeseen bad news, institutions continue large-scale liquidation

Subsequent Development:

• $57,500~$58,000 is the next support

• Extreme scenario at the $55,000 area

• Recovering from $55,000 back to $95,000 indicates a 72% upward potential

• The more extreme the bottom, often the greater the opportunity

Why are there more signals when the market is at its worst?

Many people think that when the market plunges, they should liquidate all positions and wait.

But reality is quite the opposite:

While retail investors panic and flee, the big players are quietly accumulating altcoins.

Yesterday, BTC oscillated at a low of $61,500, and the overall market sentiment dropped to a freezing point.

But our model detected three signals on the same day, all yielding profits:

ALLO: issued a warning at $0.2245, rising to $0.4046 in 8 hours, +80.2%

Model trigger logic: ✅ A large-volume candle at the lower Bollinger Band, with volume 4.1 times the 20-day average ✅ Three candles increasing in volume, confirming sustained capital inflow ✅ Fibonacci 0.618 support level precisely gained support, optimal risk-reward ratio

H: issued a warning at $0.5850, rising to $0.6878 in 24 hours, +17.6% PARTI: issued a warning at $0.0519, rising to $0.0573 in 4 hours, +10.4%

Three signals, three profits, issued at 10:49 AM, 11:49 AM, and 7:49 PM respectively.

This is not luck; it is systemic signal recognition at work during the most fearful times in the market.

Recent Complete Performance Record

BTC fell 23% this month, while our signals had a maximum single profit of +268% this month.

When will the next opportunity arise?

BTC is oscillating in the $61,500 area, which is precisely when altcoin leaders are most active in building positions.

Yesterday alone, three signals were issued, all resulting in profits.

The next signal might be today.

The question is: are you in or out?

Join the AlphaQuant Altcoin Signal Community

👉 t.me/alphaquant_lixia

Currently open for free experience, first come, first served.

Today's Operation Recommendations

BTC Operations:

• Conservative: Gradually build positions in the $60,000~$62,500 range, with a stop loss below $57,000

• Aggressive: Wait for a valid breakthrough of $65,000 before entering, with a target of $69,000~$72,000

• Conservative: Wait for RSI to return above 35, confirming the liquidation wave has ended before entering

Altcoin Strategy:

• The downside oscillation period of BTC is when altcoin leaders are most active in building positions

• Focus on low-position coins that have explosive volume at the lower Bollinger Band and sustained increases in trading volume

• Keep a single position strictly controlled within 10% of total capital

• Three signals all yielding profits yesterday indicate that the current market has a high density of altcoin opportunities

Disclaimer: This content is for educational reference only and does not constitute any investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is highly risky, and past signal performance does not guarantee future returns; please make independent judgments based on your own risk tolerance.

#BTC #Bitcoin #ALLO #H #PARTI #Altcoins #QuantitativeSignals #AlphaQuant #TechnicalAnalysis #Cryptocurrency

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