This afternoon, we were still discussing this issue; the US stock market, or AI, is not a 100% safe haven that can rise, and it will be affected by many factors. Today's decline saw NVIDIA and Tesla both fall more than 6% during the day. Roughly calculated based on market value during the day, NVIDIA evaporated about $308.4 billion in a single day, while Tesla evaporated about $87.9 billion, totaling nearly $396.4 billion for the two companies. In contrast, Coca-Cola rose over 4%.

The main reason for the decline is that the market believes the probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates has decreased, while the probability of raising interest rates has increased.

In fact, when looking at gold and silver, which had previously skyrocketed, it's the same logic: the higher they rose before, the more miserably they fall now. The market is continuously balancing better targets, and there is no asset that will rise forever without a decline.

Therefore, I always believe that investment cannot just focus on trends. One must consider their understanding range; once the market re-prices the interest rate path, funds will immediately withdraw from overvalued, high-volatility assets and shift towards more stable, more predictable cash flow assets. This process will not disappear simply because AI is strong, nor will it fail just because a company is great.

What is truly important is to find a trading strategy that one can understand. WTI has already fallen below $90 today; the market is declining, yet shorting WTI is profitable. Finding what suits you and what you can understand is the most important thing.

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