Today, a friend asked me if it is possible to buy the dip for bitcoin:native, and my answer is that currently I think what can be executed is a dual-currency financial low-price buy-in plan, such as placing the price around a 5% drop and then buying in batches, which is relatively appropriate. Of course, if one is very familiar with options, using a sell PUT strategy is also possible. I cannot know where the bottom is, but I feel that starting from now to gradually buy in batches at lower prices is feasible.

I am not worried about the issues with Bitcoin. Although it has refreshed the lowest price in the past two months, this drop is more due to emotional sell-offs, and indeed, when US stocks continue to break through, capital will shift from cryptocurrency. However, from the data on spot ETFs, this portion of capital is not very significant, and the exit of traditional investors does not indicate panic.

Macro and political issues should still be the main concerns now. The agreement between the United States and Iran is still tangled, and Trump has just made another statement that a peace agreement could be signed within the next week. Iran is very close to signing the peace document, but we all know that Trump always likes to unilaterally announce victory, so I think there could still be upcoming twists in the next one to two weeks.

However, we should be close to a comprehensive, or at least minimal, smooth flow through the Strait of Hormuz. Every time there is a recurrence, the market will raise the price of WTI, but from the current perspective, this rebound is not very strong. The market is at least still anticipating that the Hormuz issue can be resolved.

Looking back at Bitcoin data, yesterday was the highest turnover I have seen. Today, although the price continues to drop, the turnover rate has started to decline, and investors' panic sentiment has begun to improve. Of course, the current turnover is still quite high, so the possibility of the bitcoin:native price continuing to decline still exists, and we still need to wait for the market to self-repair.

However, from various data, the ones panicking are still the short-term investors, while the earlier investors are still maintaining their positions and have not exited excessively.

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