This time at 93, 94, and 96 dollars, I added to my short position in WTI. Thinking about it, I was somewhat too optimistic about 85 dollars. Although I anticipated that it would still fluctuate, I rarely engage in short-term trading, so I didn't have the concept of taking profits off the table first, which led to another round of rollercoaster ride. Although I still made a profit overall, I could have taken another round.

Of course, none of this is the main point. The main point is that I still believe there is nothing wrong with shorting WTI, even now Trump has not stated that he does not intend to negotiate. Iran has also not continued to escalate the conflict, and the U.S. midterm elections are approaching rapidly. The blockade on Iran's coast is also critical.

In this situation, I feel that the more entangled both sides are, the more it indicates that they may have reached the details and critical phase of negotiations, with an attitude of no concession. The remaining probability is that they will have to grind it out, and I must pay attention to the liquidation price, which for me is still above 120 dollars.

Current average price is 93.48 dollars, currently at a loss of 29%.

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