BTC started weak, continues to decline in June, but we have already captured 4 altcoins with an average increase of 184%

June 2, 2026 | AlphaQuant Quantitative Research

First, a set of astonishing numbers

During this time, Bitcoin has been declining, and market sentiment has dropped to a freezing point.

But our model quietly captured these 4 altcoins at the worst time in the market:

4 altcoins, minimum +71%, maximum +268%, average increase of 184%.

BTC is falling, our signals are rising.

This is not luck, this is the system at work.

Today's BTC: $71,300, June opens under pressure

Today's price of BTC is $71,000, a drop of about -3% in 24 hours, and a cumulative decline of over 6% in the past 7 days, down 43.7% from the historical high of $126,080 in October 2025, reaching a new low in nearly two months.

On the first day of June, both Bitcoin and Ethereum closed lower, and the market did not improve as it entered a new month.

But among this green, an interesting phenomenon is occurring: XLM is strengthening against the trend, rising independently in a declining BTC environment.

This confirms what we have always said: A sideways or down BTC does not mean altcoins have no opportunities.

Technical Analysis: Three-line pressure, but oversold signals appear

Moving Average Structure

BTC is currently still operating below the 20-day, 50-day, and 100-day moving averages, with the moving average suppression range at $76,400~$76,700, RSI around 35, approaching the oversold area, indicating that selling momentum may be weakening.

With all three moving averages suppressing, the short-term technical analysis is bearish.

However, the RSI near 35 is worth special attention—historically, whenever BTC's RSI falls below 35 and begins to rebound, it often indicates the beginning of a mid-level rebound.

Key Price Structure

Currently, BTC has broken through the key support of $72,000, reaching the $71,000 area, and the downward momentum continues. In the short term, attention needs to be paid to whether the psychological level of $70,000 can hold; if it holds, it will signal an important bottom.

Support Levels:

• $70,000: Strong support zone in extreme scenarios

Resistance Levels:

• $73,000~$73,500: First resistance zone, recovery counts as an effective rebound

• $76,400~$76,700: Three moving averages suppression zone, recovery shifts the trend to bullish

• $79,000~$80,000: Mid-term key resistance

• $83,842: 200-day moving average, breakthrough signals a qualitative change in trend

Bollinger Bands: Charged to the limit

The daily Bollinger Bands width has shrunk to a recent extreme, and such a tight state has historically not lasted long.

The timing of a directional breakout is approaching; the only question is which direction.

Macro Level: Two Changes Worth Noting

Change One: CLARITY Act Improves Long-term Expectations

The passage of the CLARITY Act has improved long-term regulatory expectations for the cryptocurrency market, providing a clearer legal framework for institutional funds to enter subsequently, which is an important foundation for a bullish mid-term market.

Change Two: Strategy's Sale of Coins Triggers Short-term Panic

MicroStrategy (now renamed Strategy) recently sold a batch of BTC, causing short-term concern in the market. However, this issue needs to be viewed rationally—Strategy has only sold a very small part of its holdings; the company remains the largest corporate holder of BTC, making this more like a routine asset management operation rather than a strategic retreat.

Three Scenario Analyses

Scenario One: Hold $70,000, Rebound Initiation (Probability 50%)

Trigger Condition: Hold $70,000~$71,000, and the closing price rebounds and breaks $73,500

Target Path:

• First Target: $76,400~$76,700 (moving average suppression zone)

• Second Target: $79,000~$80,000

• If RSI continues to recover, by the end of June, the target can look towards $81,000~$84,000

Altcoin Linkage: BTC stabilizing and rebounding will lead to a widespread rise in altcoins, with low-level altcoins potentially bouncing 50%~300%

Scenario Two: Sideways Continues to Fluctuate (Probability 35%)

Trigger Condition: Repeated fluctuations in the $72,000~$74,000 range

Follow-up Developments:

• Bollinger Bands continue to close, energy further compressed

• Structural opportunities in altcoins continue to emerge, as seen in the performances of ALLO, H, LAB, and XLM

• The model has the highest signal density during sideways periods, making it the best window for positioning

Scenario Three: Break Below $72,000 (Probability 15%)

Trigger Condition: Macro unexpected negative news, Strategy continues large-scale reduction of positions

Follow-up Developments:

• Dip to the $70,000 area

• If it holds, a more solid bottom structure will form, representing a historically significant buying opportunity

• If $72,000 is broken, the downward risk points towards the $68,000~$70,000 range

Why is BTC falling while our signals are rising?

Many people make a cognitive error:

BTC falls = All coins are falling = No action can be taken now

But the reality is:

When BTC is falling, the main forces are building positions in altcoins at low levels.

Funds do not disappear; they only shift.

When BTC is in a decline or sideways phase, smart money quietly flows into low-priced altcoins—first lifting the altcoins, and when BTC rebounds, the altcoins will have already increased several times.

What our quantitative model captures is just such signs of major players building positions:

✅ Bollinger Bands lower bound explosive volume candlestick — a signal of large-scale position building by the main force, trading volume far exceeds 20-day average volume ✅ Volume continues to expand — funds steadily flowing in, direction clear ✅ Fibonacci 0.618 support level accurately holds — optimal risk-reward position in technical terms

ALLO rose from $0.098 to $0.36, an increase of **+268%. H rose from $0.26 to $0.86, an increase of +231%. LAB rose from $6 to $16, an increase of +167%. XLM rose from $0.17 to $0.29, an increase of +71%**.

All 4 signals were issued during BTC's decline.

Today's Operational Suggestions

BTC Operations:

• Conservative: Gradually build positions in the $70,000~$71,500 range, stop loss below $68,000, waiting for a rebound

• Aggressive: Wait for effective breakthrough at $73,500 to enter, target $76,400~$79,000

• Conservative: Wait for the Bollinger Bands direction to be clear and for RSI to return above 50 before entering

Altcoin Positioning:

• Currently, it is the most concentrated phase for structural opportunities in altcoins during BTC's decline

• Focus on low-priced coins with unusual volume and explosive volume on the lower bound of Bollinger Bands

• Control individual positions within 10% of total funds, strictly enforce stop loss

• Do not miss altcoin opportunities just because BTC is falling

Where is the next altcoin?

After ALLO, H, LAB, and XLM, our model continues to scan.

The worse the market, the more active the main players, and the higher the signal density.

The next altcoin could appear today.

The question is: can you receive it at the first moment the signal is issued?

The entry price for ALLO when the signal was issued was $0.098, reaching a high of $0.36. The entry price for H when the signal was issued was $0.26, reaching a high of $0.86.

Those who miss the signal can only watch others' profit screenshots.

Join the AlphaQuant Altcoin Signal Community

👉 t.me/alphaquant_lixia

After joining, send "altcoin" to get:

• ✅ A current list of potential targets being tracked by the model

• ✅ Daily BTC directional analysis report

Currently free trial available, limited spots, first come first served.

Disclaimer: The content of this article is for learning and reference only and does not constitute any investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is extremely risky; past performance of signals does not guarantee future returns. Please make independent assessments based on your own risk tolerance.

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