The current cryptocurrency market is still operating within a large box structure, and the overall rhythm is very chaotic. Yesterday's market again showcased the classic fluctuation of "rising—falling—hitting new lows to find support," with Bitcoin falling back below 76,000 and Ethereum dropping below 2060; the market remains in a bottom consolidation phase.

The most influential factor on market sentiment recently continues to be Trump's frequent "face changes" regarding the U.S.-Iran situation. Just a few days ago, signals of "a near agreement" were being released, and within a short period, the attitude escalated continuously. From "essentially agreed" to "50% probability," then to "hand over enriched uranium or face larger-scale strikes," it ultimately even evolved into U.S. military aircraft entering southern Iran, with targets near Abbas Port being bombed.

In just three days, there were four consecutive attitude shifts, leaving the market completely without stable expectations. In the face of such a level of uncertainty, funds can almost only choose emotional trading. Thus, the market entered a very typical state:
rising quickly due to "agreement expectations,"
then plummeting instantly due to "escalating conflict."

In this environment, the reference significance of the technical structure itself is being continuously weakened. Because when news begins to dominate short-term volatility, the market is more likely to enter a rhythm of "high volatility, low sustainability."

However, from a larger structural perspective, it still belongs to the bottom area of repeated fluctuation. Although news disturbances are constant, the market overall has not experienced a true collapse of trend; it seems more like a repeated search for a new balance point under the dual influence of sentiment and liquidity.

The hardest part of the current market isn't judging direction, but how to maintain one's own rhythm amid a constantly "changing face" news environment.

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This article was originally published by 【Huiying Community】 and represents personal opinions only. Due to the delay in information transmission, the content is for reference only and does not constitute any investment advice; please make rational judgments and operate cautiously.
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