Dear viewers, my analysis last night was quite accurate. You can take a look at what I published, follow me, and I will help you interpret market analysis for free. Now let’s talk about the current trend and strategy of Ethereum (ETH) 1-hour level candlestick: From the perspective of a professional trader, the current market characteristics are very typical, which can be summarized as: weak recovery after a sharp drop; the bearish trend remains unchanged, but is brewing a short-term rebound.

The following are the key signal breakdowns:

1. Trend Structure: Bearish dominance, moving average resistance

   • The price is currently operating below all EMA moving averages. EMA(5) to EMA(40) show a significant bearish arrangement (short-term moving averages below, long-term moving averages above), and the moving averages are diverging downwards.

   • In particular, EMA(20) and EMA(40) form a strong "cap pressure" around 2099-2100, which means that as long as the price cannot break through 2100 with volume, any rise should be seen as a rebound rather than a reversal.

2. MACD Indicator: Bottom divergence in repair

   • Although the price made a new low at 2054, the fast and slow lines of MACD (DIF and DEA) did not make new lows, and the green bars (bearish momentum) are shortening.

   • This is a potential bottom divergence signal, indicating that the bearish momentum is waning, and there is a high probability of a corrective rebound towards the moving averages in the short term.

3. Volume: Shrinking consolidation

   • After the sharp drop, the trading volume (Volume) has significantly shrunk. This usually means that the selling pressure has temporarily eased, but buying is also not aggressive, and the market is in a wait-and-see state, waiting for a direction to be chosen.

Trading Strategy Recommendations

• Short-term idea (betting on a rebound)

  • Entry point: Around the current price of 2074 or when revisiting 2060 without breaking, you can try light positions to go long.

  • Target: The first target for the rebound is 2090-2100 (moving average resistance area).

  • Stop loss: Set below 2050 (previous low).

• Medium-term idea (trend-following short)

  • Key signal: If the price rebounds to around 2100 and meets resistance, and MACD cannot form a golden cross, it is an excellent shorting point.

  • Action: Set up short positions around 2100, with a stop loss at 2115, targeting down to 2050 or even lower.

In summary: The bearish momentum is weakening; there is a demand for a short-term rebound, but the overall trend remains bearish. A rebound to around 2100 is a good opportunity to go short.

If you want to know more real-time market analysis and strategies, scan the code to follow the public account and communicate with me. I have years of research experience in the cryptocurrency field, and everyone is welcome to learn.

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