This should be the third time. After the temporary ceasefire between the United States and Iran, this is the third time that the United States and Iran have really sat down to talk about a ceasefire agreement, and both sides believe there has been progress. However, it is also the third time that things fell apart at the most critical moment. This time, it feels like it's still the issue of enriched uranium, but from Trump's posts, it looks like Iran has not given up on its control over the Strait of Hormuz, which may also be one of the reasons for the failure to reach an agreement.

Today is the first day of the holiday resumption. The Nasdaq and S&P both broke their historical highs again during the session. Although there was some pullback at the end due to Trump's remarks, the trend of the US stock market is really very strong, especially the Nasdaq breaking the 30,000 point mark, which has risen over 30% in less than two months. The regular investment in indices is really good.

The surge in AI has made many investors less interested in the geopolitical conflict between the United States and Iran, but currently, if the geopolitical conflict cannot be resolved and oil prices remain above $90, it will have a significant impact on US inflation, and the Federal Reserve's monetary policy will tighten further. This is a risk that cannot be ignored, especially for bitcoin:native.

Looking back at Bitcoin's data, although the trend in the past two days has started to decline due to the renewed conflict between the United States and Iran, there hasn't been any issue with investor sentiment. The turnover rate is still not high, and most investors maintain a relaxed state. As I have always said, although the rise of bitcoin:native cannot keep up with the US stock market, as long as the US stock market continues to maintain a good upward trend, Bitcoin will not be too bad.

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