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I do not think I have any talent in trading.

CN
Phyrex
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1 hour ago
AI summarizes in 5 seconds.

I don't feel that I have any talent in trading, nor do I consider myself a professional trader, but I have my own understanding of trading, especially in terms of targets that can be judged through macroeconomic factors, and I believe that this type of money can be earned by most people.

Yesterday, I sensed that Iran would not sign the contract quickly because I saw that the announced agreement was unilateral from the United States, and Iran had not made a clear statement, so I cleared half of my position. Just after clearing, I saw Iran express dissatisfaction, believing that the Strait of Hormuz should still be under Iranian jurisdiction.

Before Trump's rhetoric changed, I chose to liquidate the other half of my WTI short position when the price was 90 dollars, but I have always believed that high oil prices harm not only the United States but the entire world, so I suggested continuing to short WTI at high prices. Personally, I add to my position every time it rises by 0.5 dollars.

Currently, I didn't buy at 94 dollars, and my average price is 92.2 dollars. If it continues to rise, I will keep buying; if it doesn't rise anymore, then my current purchase represents about half of my previous position, equivalent to earning a 2 dollar spread, which can yield about 18% additional profit.

Moreover, if this really comes to an end, I will not be looking at 90 dollars but rather around 85 dollars.

This money is earned through understanding macro factors, without needing to know K lines, without requiring complicated logic, and without having to watch the markets continuously. It provides enough room for errors; you only need to have a little understanding of the current international situation. I'm not very clear about others, but I know that both @Cato_KT and @DL_W59 have made money this way.

Both of them have detailed their logic, and interested friends can check it out. In general, this kind of money is earned through understanding and is not complicated; it doesn't take long, only about a month. More importantly, one can calculate a reasonable stop-loss price, though such situations do not occur frequently, but whenever they do arise, one should seize the opportunity.


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