🚨Last night, data was released showing that the US April CPI rose 3.8% year-on-year, reaching a nearly three-year high, increasing inflation pressure!

Based on the data alone, let alone cutting interest rates, raising rates could be back on the agenda.

Polymarket data reflects this quickly, with the probability of the Fed maintaining zero interest rates throughout 2026 soaring from 38% to 62%;

CME FedWatch also increased the probability of maintaining rates in June to 97.6%.

There are two key upcoming meetings:

The Federal Reserve meeting on June 17, and the June OPEC+ production cut meeting, both of which will determine the inflation and interest rate trends for the second half of the year.

But, the only good news is—

The US financial market is no longer engaged in TACO trading, but rather NACHO trading (the Strait of Hormuz has no chance of reopening);

Focusing solely on AI as the main theme, ignoring all non-recurring factors' disturbances, so it seems that after the data was released yesterday, major markets pretended not to see it and did not experience much volatility! 😂

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