Powell's speech has ended, and from my personal point of view, this time Powell was quite dovish, without any radical statements. Especially when many reporters were guiding Powell to say whether there would be an interest rate hike, Powell clearly stated that there is currently no plan for a rate hike. Of course, Powell also believes that it is still a bit early to adjust monetary policy and that more data needs to be seen.

When discussing the issue of Walsh taking over, Powell remained very calm, continually speaking well of Walsh and not indicating that there would be any problems with Walsh. This will greatly assist Walsh's succession. At the same time, Powell also believes that the rise in oil prices due to the war between the United States and Iran is short-term and will not have a long-term impact on oil price trends.

In terms of the labor market, Powell still feels it is quite good. The current unemployment rate is still at a low level, and he believes the current employment situation is quite good. Although he did not provide clear monetary policy guidance, Powell still believes that it may only be when labor data declines significantly that the Federal Reserve will consider reversing its stance.

Currently, the resilience of the U.S. economy is still quite good. Even though AI has replaced certain labor, the United States has not seen economic stagnation.

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