The aftereffects of forced operation have emerged; today I directly slept for 20 hours and still feel very fatigued. This should be the longest I have slept in the past two years. Although I missed a day's news, I can still deduce a rough idea from the market trends.

Although $BTC has slightly decreased, the trend of the U.S. stock market continues to rise sharply, indicating that the expectations for the conflict between the United States and Iran are still quite positive. Although the Strait of Hormuz has not yet reopened and I have heard that Iran is continuing to lay mines, Iran and Lebanon have once again extended the ceasefire, and the market's confidence in the recovery of oil prices remains good.

Moreover, the price of WTI has directly returned to around $93; opening a short position at $96 yesterday should have been the right decision.

Currently, neither the United States nor Iran wants to continue fighting. Although some details of the discussions have not concluded, as long as actual hostilities do not occur, the probability of oil prices rising unrestricted is very low. The peak was not even $120, and the average price before the conflict was only $75, so initiating short positions at high points is still relatively safe.

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