The current market is overall in a fluctuating bearish pattern, with prices encountering significant pressure at high levels, making the risk of chasing after price increases quite high. In contrast, shorting at highs is a better option in terms of win rate and risk-reward ratio. The focus should be on "shorting high," maintaining patience, and waiting for the best entry timing.

Mainstream Currency Operating Strategies

Bitcoin (BTC)

Bitcoin is currently fluctuating in the range of $77,800 to $78,200, showing a weak oscillation after facing pressure at high levels.

• Short Strategy: Focus on shorting opportunities in the upper $78,800 - $79,200 range. This area is a strong resistance zone from before. If the price rebounds and shows signs of stagnation, such as a long upper shadow or shrinking volume, consider entering a short position. Stop loss should be set above $79,600, with the first target at $77,500; if it breaks below, look further at $76,500.

• Long Strategy: If the price falls back to the strong support area of $76,500 - $76,800 and shows signs of stabilizing, such as a small bullish candlestick or long lower shadow, consider a small position for a short-term long. Set the stop loss below $76,000, with the target looking towards $78,000 to $78,500. It should be noted that going long in the current environment is countertrend, so position size must be strictly controlled.

Ethereum (ETH)

Ethereum is currently consolidating in the range of $2,330 to $2,370, showing weaker performance than Bitcoin, with apparent pressure above.

• Short Strategy: It is recommended to look for shorting opportunities in the $2,380 - $2,400 range. This position is a key resistance point for the day. If the price rebounds but fails to break through effectively, consider entering a short position. Set the stop loss above $2,425, with the target initially looking at $2,330; if it breaks below, then further at $2,300.

• Long Strategy: Pay attention to the effectiveness of support in the $2,300 - $2,315 range. If the price falls to this level and shows a stop-loss signal, a small position can be taken for a short-term rebound. Set the stop loss below $2,280, with the target looking towards $2,360 to $2,380. It is crucial to note that $2,300 is a key support level; if it is effectively broken, the downturn may open up significantly, thus requiring extra caution when going long.

Trading Discipline and Risk Warning

Currently, the moving averages at the 4-hour level are in a bearish arrangement, making the win rate for shorting relatively high. Recently, influenced by geopolitical and macro news, market volatility has increased, with prices experiencing rapid piercing (whipsaw) situations frequently. Strict stop loss adherence is essential; avoid chasing shorts during rapid declines or chasing prices during dramatic increases, and control positions strictly to guard against sudden risks.

This article is exclusively planned by: (Warm Heart Talk Currency) analysis team, the article has a delay in sending, and the content is for reference only. Investment carries risks; proceed with caution when entering the market. For issues like locked positions, unsatisfactory operation, or if you want to know more real-time analysis, please follow my public account for communication. I have years of research experience in the cryptocurrency circle and welcome everyone to learn from nuanxin.

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