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Ceasefire extended but blockade continues: how to profit from price fluctuations.

CN
AiCoin研究院
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3 hours ago
AI summarizes in 5 seconds.

Today we talk about the hottest topic ——The U.S.-Iran ceasefire agreement has been extended! The two-week ceasefire, originally set to expire today, was officially announced by Trump on Truth Social: “At the request of the Prime Minister and Chief of Staff of Pakistan, the United States agrees to extend the ceasefire until Iran presents a 'unified negotiation plan' and discussions are completed.”

Shifting the tone, he added a stern warning: the U.S. military will continue to seal the naval blockade of Iranian ports and is ready to take action at any time. The risk of short-term warfare seems to have eased, but the transit situation in the Strait of Hormuz is still “tight as a drum”.

With Trump’s move of “ceasefire extension + intensified blockade”, do you think oil prices will surge or plummet next? Let’s delve deep: Price increases are just appetizers, the oil market has long crossed the “critical point” of supply disruption! Even if the ceasefire is prolonged, the accelerated consumption of inventory caused by transport disruptions and the lagging effects will continue to ferment; the $95/barrel price cannot suppress the market gap at all. It’s likely to fall into a vicious cycle of “high oil prices → refinery load reduction → inventory depletion”, with the risk of physical shortages hanging like the sword of Damocles overhead, not so easily resolved.

This means ——The fluctuation is still there, it’s just about how you take a bite! Today, let’s get straight to the point: practical strategies to seize this wave of remaining volatility using crude oil contracts on Binance, so jump on the rhythm!

First, let’s clarify the essence of the contracts: CLUSDT (WTI Crude Oil): 1 contract corresponds to 1,000 barrels of WTI crude oil, the current price is about 89-90 USDT, which means one contract is worth roughly 89,000-90,000 USDT; the rules for BZUSDT (Brent Crude Oil) are similar. The maximum leverage can be opened at 100 times; opening 100 times only requires about 900 USDT as margin to leverage nearly 90,000 USDT positions ——1% fluctuation directly moves the principal by 100%! (Launched on Binance on April 1, operating 24/7, available for trading on weekends, never again fearing geopolitical news exploding during market closures)

Now let’s offer some practical insights on funding rates: They are settled every 8 hours, and the rate is positive, indicating strong bullish sentiment. The advantages are too attractive —— responsive to geopolitical news 24/7, direct settlement in USDT, no need to fumble with traditional futures accounts; when the funding rate is positive, you can even, like PhyrexNi, “earn rates while lying down,” gathering “passive income” while determining the direction, how pleasant!

Alright! New friends, it’s action time! Now open the Binance APP, search for CLUSDT, and keep an eye on the funding rates. New users, scan to register/download Binance, enter my invitation code, and recently AiCoin has also teamed up with Binance for a cash-back red envelope activity for first trades, maximizing benefits!

Ceasefire extended but blockade continues: How to feast on price fluctuations_aicoin_img1

Ceasefire extended but blockade continues: How to feast on price fluctuations_aicoin_img2

The entry is here, new users click directly: https://jump.do/zh-Hans/xlink-proxy?id=3

Be sure to fill in the invitation code aicoin668 when registering —— this step must not be missed, or the benefits will fly away!

Additionally! AiCoin has also arranged new user benefits: An extra 5U reward for the first spot trade over 50U. Remember, the biggest risk in this market is never losing money, but sitting out! Having seen this, you’re just one step away, hurry up and download, and we will continue to discuss the core logic and key levels of the market trends.

Back to the market, the core logic and key levels are clearly laid out for you:

  1. The driving logic hasn't changed: The impact of physical supply disruption is much stronger than political news In-depth analysis has long pointed out: the global oil market has crossed the “critical point” of supply disruption. Even if the Strait resumes passage, the stock depletion caused by transport interruptions will last for several weeks; the market cannot rebalance through regular price adjustments. Simply put, an oil price of $95/barrel is far from enough to stabilize the market, and the risk of physical shortages still hangs like a sword over our heads.

  2. Current technical structure: Consolidation in the 88-92 USDT range (refer to yesterday’s closing price of 92.13)

    • Key support: 88.0-89.0 (previous platform + psychological barrier, needs to hold for any chance)
    • Key resistance: 93.0-95.0 (previous high + round number barrier, only a breakthrough counts as truly strong) What’s the market status now? The bulls and bears are fiercely battling at the 90 threshold, with high open interest, the direction hasn’t shown clearly —— a typical pre-breakout night, just waiting for a catalyst!
  3. Today's monitoring focus: Keep a close watch on Trump’s Truth Social updates The logic is simple: Break through key resistance, short-term bullish sentiment will directly return, speculating on the re-pricing of supply tightening expectations during the ceasefire, this wave could be significant.

Here are two strategies for you to choose from based on your needs: Strategy A: Breakout Long (suitable for the aggressive) Trigger condition: Price strongly breaks through 93.0 and stabilizes (preferably with volume break) Operation: Open a small position long, leverage suggests 15-20 times Stop loss: Set below 92.0, don’t hesitate Target: First look at 95.0, if broken, then see 97.0-100.0 Logic: Act in accordance with the trend, speculating on the fermentation of supply tightening expectations, the risk-reward ratio is attractive.

Ceasefire extended but blockade continues: How to feast on price fluctuations_aicoin_img3

Strategy B: Buy on Dips (more suitable for the conservative) Trigger condition: Price dips to stabilize in the 89.0-89.5 area (出现小级别 K线反转信号,比如锤子线、启明星) Operation: Open a small position long, leverage suggests 10-15 times Stop loss: Must be set below 88.0! This is the bottom line, if it breaks, just run Target: First look at 91.5-92.5, take profits when good logic: Speculating on technical rebounds in key support areas, risk is controllable, and returns are guaranteed.

Important warning! These two red lines must not be crossed:

  1. It is strictly prohibited to heavily open orders in ambiguous middle zones like 90.0-91.0! The feeling of being hit from both sides, anyone who tries knows
  2. Do not recklessly jump in upon seeing sudden news (whether good or bad), trading without setting stop losses while chasing highs and lows is a major taboo!

In this market, surviving is always 100 times more important than how much you earn once! Here are two survival tools that must be remembered:

1. Golden Rule for Using Leverage

Formula: Leverage ratio ≤ 100 / your expected maximum daily volatility (%) For example: If you think today's maximum volatility could reach 8%, then don’t exceed 12 times leverage; expect a volatility of 5%, leverage can be at most 20 times. Given the current high uncertainty in the market, proactively reducing leverage is the wise choice.

2. Scientific Position Calculation Formula (must remember!)

Risk per trade = Total account funds × Risk ratio (strongly suggest 1%-2%, don’t be greedy) Calculate position size = Risk per trade / (Order price - Stop loss price) / Contract multiple (1000) Let’s calculate it again: If your account has 10,000 USDT, and you are willing to lose 2% (200 USDT) per trade, planning to go long at 90.0 with a stop loss at 89.0 (difference of 1.0), position size = 200/1.0/1000 = 0.2 contracts. This is scientific positioning, not arbitrary guessing!

Every time I emphasize stop loss, today I’ll outline three stop loss principles to engrave in your mind:

  1. Structural stop loss: Set outside key support/resistance levels (e.g., below 89.0, recognize the loss if broken)
  2. Monetary stop loss: If a single trade loses to the preset value (e.g., 200 USDT), exit unconditionally, don’t hope for luck
  3. Time stop loss: If there’s no price movement or profit within 2-4 hours of opening the order, decisively close and wait, don’t waste time

Having said so much, how much have you remembered, friends? Finally, let me summarize an action checklist for you, just follow this:

  1. Open the Binance APP → [Contracts] → [USDT Contracts] → Search for “CLUSDT”, add it to your watchlist, keep a close watch
  2. Set price alerts: Set alerts at 89.0 and 93.0, know immediately when it breaks through, don’t miss the opportunity
  3. First use a demo account or very small position with 1-5 times leverage to verify today’s strategies and build good habits

One last reiteration: High leverage is a powerful tool but also a meat grinder, newcomers should not rush in aggressively, steady and secure is the way to long-term gains!

This article represents the author’s personal views and does not reflect the platform’s stance or perspective. This article is for information sharing only and does not constitute any investment advice to anyone.

免责声明:本文章仅代表作者个人观点,不代表本平台的立场和观点。本文章仅供信息分享,不构成对任何人的任何投资建议。用户与作者之间的任何争议,与本平台无关。如网页中刊载的文章或图片涉及侵权,请提供相关的权利证明和身份证明发送邮件到support@aicoin.com,本平台相关工作人员将会进行核查。

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