The Master Talks About Hot Topics:
Continuing from yesterday, what did I say yesterday? Negotiation is all driven by short-term emotions; this so-called good news rebound, I certainly do not dare to take it seriously.
Isn't there a lot of talk from Chuanzi about changing stories overnight? If you dare to use such news as a basis for trends, then the market is specifically harvesting players who do not like to think.
The price of Bitcoin has risen, but you have seen it yourself. The turnover rate has increased, but the transaction volume hasn’t really expanded; this is a typical case of raising prices while unloading goods.
Who is selling? It’s definitely not retail investors. It’s those funds that have already set positions quietly starting to sell off. If you insist on thinking this is a healthy rise, then I will not refute you; let time give the answer.
Looking at the institutions, BlackRock is one of the few still buying, which does not represent the mainstream direction at all. Most funds have started to feel that this wave is weak and are beginning to withdraw.
Returning to the market, the current state is quite straightforward; no one dares to buy aggressively, and selling hasn’t completely crashed. It’s just a group of people watching each other, no one trusts anyone. What is the easiest outcome in this kind of situation? Of course, it’s volatility, repeatedly washing out your patience.
If you say this is the starting point of a bull market? I think you are just PUAing yourself. The monthly line is still pressing down; according to this structure, calling it a bull market is premature.
A real bull market is not proven by one or two bullish candles; it is confirmed when it withstands the support test after a breakthrough, and does not collapse for 8 to 10 weeks; that is called stability. Now? It’s still probing the first level of pressure, yet some people begin to fantasize about a trend reversal. If Gao Shushi sees this, he would say: Look, anxious again.
The daily chart of Bitcoin is more direct; it has rebounded into a resistance zone and then started to see selling pressure. If you insist on explaining this with a shoulder-head-shoulder pattern, it’s not completely wrong. But fundamentally, it’s simpler; it just can’t push higher. The funds are unwilling to continue pushing up, that’s the reality.
The Master Looks at Trends:

Currently, Bitcoin's dominance is rising, with funds flowing back from altcoins to Bitcoin. The fluctuations before and after the opening of the US stock market will likely be magnified, and funds are likely to oscillate around 78K. Overall, it's normal volatility after a sharp rally, not a large-scale trend.
From a structural perspective, the stretch from 74K to 79K is very strong, but now it has entered a high-altitude digestion phase, in simpler terms, it has risen too quickly and needs to wash out short-term profit-taking.
Encountering a drop after reaching the upper edge of the rising channel, this kind of pullback is very normal; the mid-term structure is not broken, but short-term it is definitely not as smooth. The indicators are also a bit overheated, and the transaction volume has not continued to expand, so it looks more like a combination of rising and resting, not a sustained acceleration.
The key is to focus on a few positions: the upper pressure is at 79.2K and 80K, especially 80K, as it is a psychological barrier that is easily smashed. The most critical support below is at 77.8K, and 77K is the last line of defense.
Next, there are two scenarios: if 77.8K can be held, then it would shake and continue to push upwards to test 80K again, with even a chance of a new high. But if 77.8K is not held, it basically needs to test 77K or even lower; once 77K is also broken, the short-term outlook will clearly turn weak.
4.23 The Master’s Segment Preemptive Strategy:
Long Entry Reference: Buy in the range of 77000-77500. Target: 78500-78800
Short Entry Reference: Sell in the range of 79200-80000. Target: 77800-77000
If you truly want to learn something from a blogger, you need to keep following them, rather than jumping to conclusions after just a few market movements. This market is filled with performative players; today they capture long positions, tomorrow they summarize short positions, looking as if they are “grabbing tops and bottoms every time,” but in reality, it’s all after-the-fact. The bloggers truly worth following have trading logic that is consistent, coherent, and stands up to scrutiny, rather than jumping on the bandwagon only when the market moves. Don’t be blinded by exaggerated data and out-of-context screenshots—long-term observation and deep understanding are necessary to discern who is a thinker and who is a dream maker!
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