Today I discovered a no-risk money-making opportunity on polymarket

At 9 AM Beijing time on the 16th, I saw the market for the ceasefire between Israel and Hezbollah on April 15, with a probability of No at 96.2%.

What differs from other late-race markets is that it is risk-free. Other high-probability late markets may have reversals. The difference lies in the time zone gap.

Because polymarket settles according to the US time zone. So at 9 AM Beijing time, it is around 3 AM in the Israel region, and no progress in negotiations can occur. The settlement occurs 4 hours later.

Therefore, its essence lies in the settlement time difference, following the Americans' settlement time, but in a few hours, it is already early morning in the Middle East, making any new progress in negotiations impossible. (However, it is not suitable for the start of war)

免责声明：本文章仅代表作者个人观点，不代表本平台的立场和观点。本文章仅供信息分享，不构成对任何人的任何投资建议。用户与作者之间的任何争议，与本平台无关。如网页中刊载的文章或图片涉及侵权，请提供相关的权利证明和身份证明发送邮件到support@aicoin.com，本平台相关工作人员将会进行核查。