Last night, I stared at the market all night, and all I could think of were these three keywords: pork ribs at 23 yuan per pound, a quietly warming real estate sales office, and Bitcoin that has dropped like a dog.
Many people think these are three parallel worlds, but in my eyes, they are actually the same underlying cards in the wealth reshuffling.
First is the "cold logic" of pork. Everyone eats pork ribs quite happily now, but we need to keep the energy accounts clear. If the war in the Middle East really pushes oil prices to 150 dollars, the costs of cold chain transportation and feed imports will soar. Currently, the sufficient supply in the domestic market is our "safety cushion," but this cushion is facing the pressure of imported inflation.
Secondly is the "risk aversion trend" in real estate. The world is entering a "stock market crash mode," with Japan and South Korea experiencing circuit breakers, while the A-shares cling to the 4000 point mark. At this time, people realize that instead of jumping around in the stock market, it’s better to go back to first-tier cities to look at houses. Recently, the real estate sales offices in Shanghai and Shenzhen have warmed up, which is essentially risk-averse funds searching for "certainty"—the more chaotic the international situation, the more solid the bricks in core locations become.
Finally, the "big wash" in the crypto circle. Due to the tightening of global liquidity, BTC (Bitcoin) has experienced a brutal "de-leveraging" crash. Many people are staring at the K-line trembling, asking me if this drop can still be watched?
My answer is simple: this is a typical moment of "being greedy when others are fearful," and I have bottomed out again.
The current crash is essentially forcing those speculators who are heavily leveraged to "sacrifice." As long as the long logic of global easing remains unchanged, this "panic pit" created by geopolitical events will later be seen as a ticket to wealth redistribution.
Let’s discuss my bottoming strategy:
In this "chaotic era," choosing the right platform is more important than choosing the right coin. Recently, I have placed all my added positions on Binance. Registering on Binance allows for long-term rebates, which is called "compound interest picking money."
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Binance has flexible liquidity, and does not delay your market watching. Here, there is the world's largest liquidity pool; if you want to buy "bloody chips," transactions happen the fastest here; the safety protection (SAFU fund) is top-tier in the industry, and during this volatile period, the safety of funds is more important than anything else.
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1. Rising transaction volume of second-hand houses in first-tier cities indicates that large funds have started to seek refuge in the real sector. This warming is not because everyone suddenly became rich, but because everyone wants to find a "nest" for their cash.
2. Bitcoin (BTC) falling sharply. Although it looks frightening, compared to the momentum when domestic concept stocks bottomed out back then, this indiscriminate market sell-off is often the best time to identify "hexagonal warrior" projects. I have already opened a mini spot position on Binance, focusing on a long-term perspective.
3. Altcoin sector has generally halved. At this time, do not touch leverage; gradually laying out in spot positions is the way to go.
I am also more confident in Bitcoin now.
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