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Trump changed his mind about the pause for five days. How should the market operate to maximize profits?

CN
AiCoin研究院
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3 hours ago
AI summarizes in 5 seconds.

The Middle East has been quite chaotic lately, with Trump one moment shouting "Bomb Iran's power plant within 48 hours," and the next moment suddenly saying "Let's pause for 5 days and talk." Oil prices plummeted by over 10%, yet U.S. stocks surged, leaving many friends dizzy from the news.

Today, we will explain this matter from start to finish in the simplest terms, especially focusing on that miraculous "huge volume 15 minutes ago" — who exactly got the script ahead of time?

Trump's change to a 5-day pause, how to maximize profits in the market?_aicoin_image1

1. How did everything suddenly take a 180-degree turn?

Over the weekend, Trump was quite fierce:

"Iran must open the Strait of Hormuz within 48 hours, otherwise I will bomb your power plants!"

Then, at 7:05 AM (New York time) on Monday, he posted a message in all caps, and his tone had completely changed:

"We had great talks over the past two days and will continue discussions this week, so I have decided to pause strikes for 5 days.

Trump's change to a 5-day pause, how to maximize profits in the market?_aicoin_image2

From 48 hours to 5 days! The market instantly switched from "war is imminent" to "there is hope." U.S. stock futures surged, with the Dow Jones soaring over 1000 points, while oil prices plummeted by more than 10%.

But even more outrageous is that — all of this had signs before Trump’s post.

2. Mysterious signal 15 minutes before: the market is faster than news!

About 15 minutes before the post (around 6:50 AM New York time), during a super quiet pre-market period, the market suddenly exploded:

 

  • $1.5 billion huge buy orders suddenly appeared for the S&P 500 futures, and prices surged upwards;
  • At the same time, there were lots of sell orders for WTI crude oil futures, pushing prices down.

Trump's change to a 5-day pause, how to maximize profits in the market?_aicoin_image3

Trump's change to a 5-day pause, how to maximize profits in the market?_aicoin_image4

On the candlestick chart, this formed a "island volume nail" — no news, yet there was suddenly large trading, and the direction matched exactly with the effect of Trump's post.

What does this indicate?

Someone may have known the news ahead of time (through intelligence or insider information);

It could also be that smart algorithms picked up on the wind early;

Of course, it might also just be a coincidence… but for it to be so precise, the probability is really low.

In simple terms: sometimes the market is a step ahead of the news, it uses prices to tell you — "someone is already taking action."

3. Why exactly "5 days," and not 3 days or 7 days?

Trump explained himself:

 

  • 3 days is too short, discussions can't go deep enough and seem insincere;
  • 7 days is too long, risk increases with delays and makes America appear too soft;
  • 5 days is just right, allowing for a complete workweek, giving the other side a breather, and also allowing himself to continue attacking at any time.

This is Trump's "art of the deal": first scare you, then give you a way out. The market understood this signal and quickly celebrated.

4. What does these 5 days mean for ordinary people?

Short-term good news:

 

  • Oil prices have greatly fallen, gasoline and natural gas may not continue to rise in the short term, easing living costs;
  • The stock market rebounded, friends buying stocks and funds feel better;
  • Cryptocurrencies also saw small increases.

But don't celebrate too early:

​​​​​​​

  • Iran said "We are not talking at all," and Israel continues to strike;
  • If talks break down after 5 days, oil prices are likely to rebound, and could even rise more sharply.

These 5 days are like everyone collectively having a "peace dream," and after waking up, the volatility may be even greater.

Conclusion: The 5-day pause is not the end, but the beginning of a new game

The surge from 15 minutes ago taught us a lesson:

Sometimes, the fastest "trades" do not happen in the White House, but in the brief minutes of the futures market. For ordinary investors:

 

  • In the short term, look for opportunities but don't rush too much;
  • Pay more attention to candlesticks and AI analysis, keep an eye on the movements of oil prices and U.S. stocks;
  • For Bitcoin, Ethereum, etc., also be cautious of the transmission from oil prices and geopolitical risks.

If you want to see more detailed real-time candlestick charts and AI anomaly signals, feel free to visit aicoin.com.

Do you think that surge 15 minutes earlier was a coincidence or did someone know in advance? Feel free to let me know in the comments, and let's discuss together!

(The above content is a simplified interpretation based on publicly available information for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The market has risks; invest with caution.)

Join our community, let's discuss and become stronger together!

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