📌 According to CME FedWatch data, traders have given up on a rate cut in April, with the probability of keeping the interest rate unchanged at 92.8%.

Apart from the United States, several other major economy central banks are also preparing to gradually cut interest rates, and now they are starting to adopt a hawkish stance —

📍 The Bank of England unanimously decided to keep the benchmark interest rate unchanged, with the market pricing in two rate hikes within the year, each by 25 basis points.

📍 Europe is more sensitive to the impact of energy prices, and the market is betting on at least one rate hike within the year.

📍 The Reserve Bank of Australia has already raised rates, and the market is betting on an additional 65 basis points increase within the year.

📍 South Korea and India, the market is betting on four rate hikes over the next two years.

A war has completely overturned global monetary policy, and the pricing of all assets is oscillating between the distinctly opposite scenarios of "stagflation" and "ceasefire."

The most dangerous operation in this environment is to bet on a one-sided direction;

never engage in self-righteous speculative operations, keeping your hands steady is the best strategy!

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