The world is bustling, all for profit; the world is bustling, all for profit to come! Hello everyone, I am your friend Lao Cui, focusing on digital currency market analysis, striving to deliver the most valuable market information to our crypto friends. Welcome everyone's attention and likes, and reject any market smoke screens! 

Bitcoin officially broke through the 75,000 mark this morning, and Lao Cui took a moment to glance at the market discussions; indeed, the trend follows the K-line, and surprisingly, users looking towards 80,000 have popped up all at once. At the same time, I would like to remind everyone that this prediction is not solely the result of one person's efforts; it's largely due to luck. Many bearish friends maintain a skeptical attitude towards this prediction, and most of them tend to bring out data to support their points, discussing ratios of long and short positions. Furthermore, the inability to achieve short-term interest rate cuts, combined with fluctuations in geopolitical situations, makes it incredibly difficult for the crypto circle to regain the attention of investors. After all, the fastest-growing market currently has shifted from gold to energy, and up until now, a significant portion of users are extremely dissatisfied with gold's performance this time. The inability to see clearly the financial market is not an isolated issue. In my personal view, it stems from not rationalizing the logic of financial markets.

Many more friends possess a certain logic, but their understanding does not keep up with logical thinking, resulting in highly unstable market judgments. To put it simply, do people think the market is more about speculation or reality? Why is it that before every wave of interest rate cuts, there is often more growth, whereas the volatility after the cuts is not as severe? Why has the recent conflict between Iran and the United States led to a gold increase that is even less than previous small-scale conflicts? Clearly, in a situation where geopolitical conflicts are intensifying, gold has actually moved into a downward range? This is all due to expectations; the excessive amount of capital accumulated earlier has resulted in subsequent developments not meeting expectations, which can only lead to a downturn. Moreover, at the time of this conflict, many users felt that the issues would be resolved in the short term; no one expected that, under the loss of their highest leader, Iran would become more united with clearer goals. If everyone still cannot see the situation clearly, you can interpret it from the financial field; currently, Lao Cui feels that Iran has the upper hand.

The above views are based on a strategic level, not a military level analysis. Viewed solely from a military perspective, the United States is certainly the winner; after all, the departure of a national leader does not pose any threat to the American president. From a military standpoint, Iran is certainly the party being passively attacked. However, from a strategic perspective, America is definitely at a disadvantage; a wave of war directly leads to increased domestic inflation, and they even start to speculate on counter-cyclical measures, giving rise to thoughts of interest rate hikes. This interest rate hike is not merely a buzzword; perhaps you have seen that recent employment data is extremely good, with some data even exceeding expectations. You need to see the substantial issues; once war breaks out, many industries will be stimulated into production, and this natural increase in production will also boost employment. Short-term employment data is not very reliable. Even if the ammunition is from stock, those stocks need to be replenished. What about medical supplies? Energy processing? Frontline logistics? All require cooperation in production; some conflicts can actually ease domestic economic data.

However, inflation is definitely unavoidable, due to the explosive rise in energy prices; there are too many oil derivatives, and individual survival costs will definitely increase. Therefore, raising interest rates is indeed a topic worth discussing. Seeing this, many friends might wonder why, just yesterday, Trump was clamoring for quick rate cuts and also called for a special meeting of the Federal Reserve to lower rates. Why is that? Because the dollar is too strong, which impacts American policies. Trump's strategy is to bring manufacturing back, and raising interest rates would deliver the most fatal blow to foreign trade. This certainly includes some self-interest; data from U.S. stocks, dollars, and even U.S. Treasury bonds will become a measure of a president's performance, and Trump faces a severe midterm election problem. While there have been significant military missteps, these even extend to the economic level, which is extremely important for him in trying to secure votes. Therefore, during this period, the focus may very well return to how to tackle the midterm election issue; he also needs to survive.

Discussing these issues is not meant to mislead anyone; you should use your own judgment to speculate. At this stage, it's not a question of whether to raise interest rates, but rather achieving a balance. For Trump, not raising rates is the best news; as long as he keeps up the pressure, the results won't be too bad. For him, as long as he maintains one interest rate cut before the midterm elections, and if the data can ease up a bit, his chances of success will also increase. Please do not be fooled by smoke screens; maybe emphasizing again that this month will reach 80,000 is getting a bit tiresome. After breaking through 80,000, Lao Cui will provide greater confidence; this year's bull market will definitely happen earlier than many of you expect. Many friends are still unclear about the current market trend, largely due to their understanding of the cryptocurrency market. No matter how much Lao Cui promotes it, most friends still view the current fluctuations from a previous perspective, which is a bit unfair.

Lao Cui can pinpoint these issues, largely thanks to overlooking the short-term retail positions. A significant number of analysts in the cryptocurrency circle speak about future trends based on current data, which lacks a broad perspective. You need to understand the original intention behind the birth of the cryptocurrency market and the technology that might be achieved in the future. Since February, Lao Cui has been aware that Musk's plans for the cryptocurrency arena involve launching X's wallet transactions, which are likely to go live in April. At that time, you will be able to use stablecoins or Bitcoin for offline transaction payments; this step can be said to lay the foundation for growth in the crypto space. Additionally, Solar tweeted that the Solana network improvement proposal SIMD-0266 has been approved. This proposal, introduced by Anza last year, aims to implement a p-token (a more computationally efficient token model) to enhance Solana's transaction and payment computational efficiency by up to 19 times, reducing token transfer costs and enhancing network capacity. The upgrade is expected to be deployed to the mainnet in April this year. These technological innovations are paving the way for stablecoins, laying the foundation for the future market.

Lao Cui summarizes: Currently, among the giants, we can see some impressive data, which I shared with everyone in my private domain yesterday and will mention again in today's article. MicroStrategy purchased 22,337 and 17,994 coins on March 16 and March 9, respectively, with an average price ranging between 70,000 and 71,000, totaling an investment of 2.8 billion U.S. dollars. Meanwhile, BlackRock is also actively pledging and purchasing, driving this round of market strong growth. What I hope for everyone is to stand at a higher vantage point to overlook the entire crypto market. Do not underestimate Trump's strategy; at least so far, Trump is the most economically minded president among all U.S. presidents. Many of his measures are truly life-saving injections for America. It can be said that the success of cryptocurrency is linked to the fate of America. This path may not be the only one but is certainly the simplest and most straightforward. As long as he remains in power, it will be hard for the crypto space to enter a bear market in a yearly unit; at most, it will last half a year. April is crucial, and March will continue to see growth; currently, Lao Cui is no longer considering when to break through the 80,000 mark, but how to proceed after breaking through 80,000? From the current outlook, continuing the bull market is possible, but there is no need to look too far ahead. Let's first wait for 80,000 to arrive, and then plan accordingly. At the end of the article, Lao Cui reminds everyone that I am bullish; do not approach me asking at which point the current pullback will reach. Lao Cui is bullish, not bearish!

Original content creation account: Lao Cui Talks Coins. For assistance, please contact directly.

Lao Cui's message: Investing is like playing chess; experts can see five, seven, or even ten moves ahead, whereas those with less chess skill can only see two or three moves. The skilled consider the overall situation, plan for the bigger picture, focusing not just on one piece or one territory, aiming to win the game ultimately; the less skilled battle for every inch, frequently switching between long and short, only fighting for short-term gains, and frequently find themselves trapped.

This material is for learning reference only and does not constitute investment advice. Trading based on this is at your own risk!

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