Coin Circle Li Ying: 3.17 Bitcoin 2-hour cycle in-depth analysis! Continuation of the bull market or temporary peak? Latest market analysis and trading suggestions

　　Hello, fellow warriors in the coin circle, I am Li Ying! Today, we will not speak abstractly, only data. We do not rely on feelings, just let the charts speak. All positions, indicators, and structures on the 2-hour candlestick are real and verifiable, rejecting any "approximately," "possibly," or "maybe." The main force is fluctuating in the upper half of the Bollinger Bands channel, without touching the upper band, nor breaking below the middle band. This is not a death convergence, but rather high-level consolidation. The width of the Bollinger Bands is still wide, and the volatility has not significantly converged; the market is still in an active trend phase, not at a critical turning point.

　　However, the MACD has shown a preliminary form of a top divergence, yet the momentum has not significantly shortened or turned downward, although it has weakened, it has not exhausted. A critical reminder is that top divergence does not equate to immediate decline. It is merely a warning signal that needs to be combined with trading volume and price breaking key support to confirm its effectiveness. Currently, it is only a warning phase.

　　When the price reaches a new high, the trading volume does not increase in sync, showing a preliminary form of volume-price divergence, combined with the MACD top divergence. This is a typical low-volume new high structure; the main force may be using this to offload rather than genuinely increasing positions. In a bull market, low-volume new highs often indicate the last push or a trap for bullish sentiment; one must be highly vigilant about subsequent retracement risks.

　　Therefore, the current trend structure since the low of 63030 has formed an upward fluctuating channel, currently near the upper band of the channel, facing a directional choice. If there is a breakout with increased volume above the upper band, the bull market's main rising wave will continue; if there is a decline in volume leading to a drop below the middle band, a correction will commence, targeting the lower band or lower. Thus, Li Ying reminds everyone to pay attention to the previous high's market conditions to determine whether to stay or exit.

　　Short-term practical strategy (personally taught by Li Ying, accurately aligned with the market conditions)

　　Long strategy: Enter light positions buying on a dip to 72500 to 72000, targeting 74500, and stop-loss below 72000.

　　Short strategy: Enter light positions selling if breaking down below 72500, targeting 71000, with a stop-loss at 73000.

　　Finally, Li Ying wants to say to everyone:

　　Wealth in the coin circle always belongs to those who "understand signals, maintain discipline, and dare to act." Currently, BTC's "Bollinger Bands narrowing + MACD bottom divergence" is the "last signal before a major trend starts." Are you ready to face the storm?

　　Risk warning: The above analysis by Li Ying is based on real-time market conditions and data, for reference only, and does not constitute investment advice; trading risks are borne by the trader.

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