I have given up on the idea of making big money through prediction markets.

I have tried various strategies and am currently only in a slight profit state.

So I changed my approach, viewing betting as a form of "cognitive forced pressure."

Taleb considers Skin in the Game as one of the most efficient learning methods.

When real money is placed under uncertainty, the brain truly activates a high-frequency learning mode.

For instance, I bet on Le Minh Khai in the "Next Prime Minister of Vietnam" market.

I not only learned about Le Minh Khai himself but also gained a rough understanding of the official historical narrative of Vietnam.

Vietnamese often say, "Heaven is too far, China is too close," with China depicted as the greatest potential threat in Vietnam's history. Most of the content in their history textbooks related to war is about resisting Chinese dynasties.

This historical narrative directly influences Vietnam's political and diplomatic logic; understanding this helps explain why Vietnam adopts "bamboo diplomacy" in the US-China game.

For example, in the "Oscar 2026: Best Director" prediction market, I bought several NO markets.

After learning, I discovered that Zhao Ting, currently ranked third in winning odds for "Nomadland," is actually the stepdaughter of Song Dandan (the child of her current husband and his previous wife).

The strange dimensional wall just cracked open this way.

Although I haven't made any money, I have rather increased my strange knowledge.

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