This morning, upon hearing the news that Dubai continues to be attacked, I estimated that this conflict would continue. Sure enough, until now we are still seeing news of a stalemate in the war. The latest news from the White House indicates that Iran's fate will be like that of Venezuela, and the ever-attention-seeking Trump has stated that Cuba will soon collapse. He really doesn't seem to mind facing multiple enemies at the same time. Just today, Russia also provided Iran with intelligence regarding the locations of U.S. naval vessels and aircraft, which could potentially be used by Iran to attack U.S. targets.
This is the Putin that Trump finds very "admirable." This series of measures might become targets for Trump to be attacked by the Democrats. Moreover, today's negative news is not just about the conflict; there's also the non-farm data, with unemployment rising to 4.4%, and non-farm employment actually showing negative values, along with retail data also being negative. The U.S. economy is about to face another round of skepticism. However, it's good that tariff negotiations have touched upon, maybe the data in April will improve.
Tomorrow is the weekend, and I haven't invested in the dual currency that is due today, fearing that Trump might come up with some antics over the weekend. It's still better to keep some cash on hand.
Looking back at Bitcoin's data, the turnover rate has increased, but trading volume has decreased, and investors' purchasing power is clearly insufficient, with sell-offs starting to increase. This was estimated in the last couple of days. Once the market sees negative news or information requiring a continued war, it is normal for previously enthusiastic investors to sell off. There is a clear analysis in the pinned weekly report; interested friends can take a look.
The current chip structure is still quite good. Although the price of $BTC has dropped again, long-term investors still show little interest in trading. The current trading is still mainly driven by short-term investors, but those with the greatest influence on price are short-term investors. The biggest concern right now is the weekend; Trump's personality may lead him to do something again.
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