The rebound comes quickly and goes quickly, just like what is written in the top weekly report. Most of the current market behavior stems from geopolitical conflicts. When there is a possibility of resolution, the market will respond with an upward trend, but once the geopolitical conflict is still entangled, the market will go back to where it came from. Currently, Trump is facing such a problem. Although the Strait of Hormuz has been opened, oil tankers are still quite cautious, resulting in the price of American oil rising directly to 80 dollars.

In fact, during such times, oil prices serve as the best barometer. When oil prices rise, it indicates that the market’s expectations towards war are not very favorable. The top weekly report has mentioned this, and interested friends can take a look. Additionally, tariffs have not eased for Trump, and it is expected that 12 U.S. states will file lawsuits to prevent Trump’s latest global tariffs. Iran continues to resist, and Trump probably has a headache.

Today, OKX gained some attention, and the information from the Intercontinental Exchange has caused OKB to rise quite a bit, but it has now returned to below 100 dollars, mainly due to excessive pressure and low liquidity. When OKB rises, it can easily lead to a withdrawal of liquidity. Currently, it maintains a 25% increase, but it is uncertain how long this will last.

Looking at Bitcoin's data, it has returned to fluctuate around 70,000 dollars again. This is why I say it is a rebound, not a reversal. Trading volume has begun to decline, and the market is testing investors' patience and funds. The current trading volume is not very high, and the FOMO sentiment among investors is gradually receding.

Now looking at the chip structure, it appears very healthy. Both losing and profitable investors are quite normal, with no signs of concentrated sell-offs in rising or falling trends. This has been said for a long time. Indeed, from the data, more and more investors are unwilling to relinquish their chips at low prices, and more investors are gradually becoming long-term investors.

If there aren’t many investors with costs above 90,000 dollars, if 30% leave the market, then the current price would have to be below 50,000 dollars.

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